Stock daily read

What happened with REED today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

REED in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Reed's, Inc. sells Reed’s ginger beer and ginger ale, alongside Virgil’s classic sodas made with natural ingredients. Reed’s uses pressed fresh ginger and a proprietary brewing process. Customers include distributors, retailers, bars and restaurants, and consumers buying online, across the United States and Asia-Pacific. The company earns from beverage sales and supports distribution with promotional payments, discounts and other sales incentives.

Independent contract manufacturers make all its products. Reed's pays them production fees and generally supplies and pays for the cans and glass bottles. Its ability to fill orders depends on these manufacturers, with suitable replacement capacity limited, and on distributors and retailers keeping its drinks stocked and selling them.

A small group of customers supplies a substantial share of sales. Distributors and national accounts have no minimum purchase commitments, so revenue depends on repeat orders rather than contracted volumes. The company must also comply with rules governing beverage ingredients, safety, labeling, advertising and packaging in the markets it serves.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in REED’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

REED says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Reed’s also faces ginger-beer competition from Fever Tree and Bundaberg, neither shown here, while national retailer orders and the costs of outsourced beverage production also shape its results.

  • Zevia PBC competes for grocery and natural-food store purchases with naturally sweetened, zero-sugar sodas against Reed’s ginger ale and Virgil’s craft sodas. Watch Zevia’s soda sales and retail distribution for signs of competition for shoppers and shelf space.

  • National Beverage Corp.’s Shasta and Faygo sodas and LaCroix sparkling waters compete with Reed’s and Virgil’s for U.S. consumers’ carbonated-drink purchases. Its new flavors in those brands are worth watching as competing choices for the same spending.

  • Coca-Cola Company competes with Reed’s and Virgil’s through sparkling soft drinks sold to retailers and distributors, including Schweppes ginger ale in certain countries outside the United States where it owns the brand. Schweppes news in those markets is the more direct signal of competition for Reed’s ginger ale.

Agenda

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Coca-Cola Company earningsKO

    Coca-Cola’s report will show how Schweppes is selling in markets outside the United States where it owns the brand, signaling the competition Reed’s ginger ale faces there.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Zevia PBC earningsZVIA

    Zevia PBC’s report will show how its soda sales and retail distribution are changing, signaling its competition with Reed’s and Virgil’s for grocery and natural-food-store shoppers and shelf space.

in 23 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Reed's, Inc. earningsThis company

    Reed’s, Inc.’s report will show whether Reed’s and Virgil’s can steady case sales without promotions and production costs further squeezing gross profit.