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What happened with PZG today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PZG in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. owns mineral projects and advances them through exploration, engineering studies and permitting. Most of its project spending goes to Grassy Mountain in Oregon, primarily for permits. It also owns the Sleeper Gold Project in Nevada, where it has not completed a feasibility study to assess whether a mine would be commercially viable.

The company has no operating revenue; cash comes from equity financing, debt financing and royalty sales rather than customers buying mined metal. Continuing its work depends on raising more capital, and starting mining would require additional financing or a joint venture partner. Mine development also depends on obtaining the necessary environmental and operating permits; the permits it holds for current activities do not cover every future operational change.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PZG’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PZG says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Seabridge Gold and Paramount both advance gold deposits without operating mines, but Seabridge also owns Paramount shares and a right to Grassy Mountain profits. Once Paramount announces a positive production decision and secures construction financing, Seabridge has 30 days to demand C$10 million for that profit interest—a payment that could require Paramount to raise more money.

  • U.S. Gold and Paramount both develop western U.S. gold projects without production revenue, but U.S. Gold is further along on construction permits. Its CK Gold project in Wyoming has all permits needed to begin construction, while Paramount’s Grassy Mountain spending remains focused primarily on permitting.

  • International Tower Hill Mines and Paramount both depend on making undeveloped U.S. gold deposits economical to mine and finance. International Tower Hill’s wholly owned Livengood project in Alaska has not begun extraction, so its development progress—not gold sales—is the relevant comparison for Paramount.

  • Dakota Gold and Paramount both seek to turn U.S. gold exploration projects into producing mines without current operating revenue. Dakota has not yet begun development or mining, so watch whether its exploration results support a move into development rather than treating it as a producing-mine comparison.

  • Mayfair Gold and Paramount advance gold projects without operating revenue, so project studies, development milestones and access to funding matter more than current sales. Mayfair’s progress is concentrated in its wholly owned Fenn-Gib project in northeastern Ontario, its only material mineral property.

  • GoldMining and Paramount need financing rather than mine cash flow to advance their non-producing gold projects. GoldMining acquires and develops gold assets across the Americas and funds its activities mainly by selling shares, making its equity financing news a useful comparison for Paramount’s funding needs.

  • Western Copper and Gold and Paramount both need workable project economics and financing to develop deposits that generate no mine revenue. Western’s sole project, Casino in Yukon, is a copper-and-gold deposit, so its development news also reflects copper exposure that differs from Paramount’s gold projects.

  • McEwen’s operating Gold Bar mine and Paramount’s undeveloped Sleeper project both expose investors to Nevada gold-mining economics. McEwen also holds exploration and development assets, but Gold Bar’s operating results offer the producing-mine comparison for Sleeper, which has no mining revenue.

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  • Mako Mining’s Nevada gold-silver development project and Arizona gold mine share western U.S. gold economics with Paramount’s Nevada and Oregon projects, but Mako also earns production revenue elsewhere. Watch development at Mt. Hamilton in Nevada and the mining ramp-up at Moss in Arizona, rather than treating revenue from Nicaragua’s San Albino mine as a direct comparison.

Agenda

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    McEwen Inc. earningsMUX

    McEwen's Gold Bar output and costs will show readers how a producing Nevada gold mine is operating, a benchmark for Paramount Gold Nevada's undeveloped Sleeper project.

in 25 daysFri, Nov 13

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. earningsThis company

    Paramount Gold Nevada has no mining revenue, so this quarterly report will show whether its cash and financing can keep Grassy Mountain permitting and Sleeper work moving.

in 51 daysWed, Dec 9

  1. Time to be announced

    U.S. Gold Corp. earningsUSAU

    U.S. Gold has the permits needed to build CK Gold, and its report will show what comes after permitting—a useful comparison for Paramount Gold Nevada as it works through Grassy Mountain's permits.