Stock daily read

What happened with PXED today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PXED in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, where working adults study online for undergraduate and graduate degrees. Degree programs generate nearly all revenue; certificates and other non-degree courses contribute a small share. Students enroll independently or through employer relationships, which often offer discounted tuition.

The University charges tuition per course. Most revenue comes from federal student aid provided to students through Title IV programs, making that funding central to the business. Some employers pay tuition directly, providing income outside federal aid and helping the University meet rules that require a share of revenue to come from nonfederal sources.

Revenue depends on attracting students and keeping them enrolled and taking courses. The University's Tuition Price Guarantee fixes each student's per-course price when they enroll, so it cannot raise tuition for existing students as costs rise. Access to federal aid depends on maintaining accreditation, state authorization and Department of Education approval, along with meeting other participation requirements. Losing or materially restricting that access could make the business unsustainable.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PXED’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PXED says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Strategic Education’s Capella and Strayer universities compete with Phoenix Education Partners’ University of Phoenix for tuition-paying online degree students, and both companies pursue employer-supported education. Watch Capella and Strayer enrollment and Workforce Edge, which helps employers administer education benefits, for signs of competition for working adults.

  • Perdoceo Education’s CTU and AIUS compete with Phoenix Education Partners’ University of Phoenix for students paying for flexible, career-oriented degrees. Their business and information technology programs are worth watching for enrollment trends in the student market they contest.

  • American Public Education’s APUS competes with Phoenix Education Partners’ University of Phoenix for students seeking affordable online degrees, including business and information technology. Watch APUS tuition and student grants: they shape the cost students weigh against Phoenix’s per-course tuition guarantee.

  • Covista’s Walden University competes with Phoenix Education Partners’ University of Phoenix for working adults paying to pursue online undergraduate and graduate degrees.

  • Grand Canyon Education shares Phoenix Education Partners’ exposure to online university enrollment, but earns its money by providing technology, marketing and student support to university partners rather than teaching students itself. Watch online enrollment at its largest customer, Grand Canyon University, for a read on the demand that also drives University of Phoenix.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Covista Inc. earningsCVSA

    Covista’s report will show how many working adults seeking online undergraduate and graduate degrees chose Walden, a market where Phoenix Education Partners also competes for students.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Grand Canyon Education, Inc earningsLOPE

    Grand Canyon Education’s report will offer a read on enrollment at its largest customer, Grand Canyon University, and the online-university demand Phoenix Education Partners also relies on.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    American Public Education, Inc. earningsAPEI

    American Public Education’s report will show how APUS tuition and student grants shape students’ costs, a point of comparison with Phoenix Education Partners’ per-course tuition guarantee.