Stock daily read

What happened with OESX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

OESX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Orion Energy Systems helps businesses and institutions replace lighting in facilities such as warehouses, factories, stores and offices. It supplies LED fixtures and can handle design, engineering, project management and installation. Lighting provides most of its revenue. Customers buy complete projects or equipment, mainly directly from Orion, but also through distributors, contractors and energy service companies. Virtually all sales are in North America.

Orion also earns from repairing and replacing facility lighting and electrical components. Its electric-vehicle charging business sells and installs charging stations sourced from other suppliers and provides ongoing support and software subscriptions.

The business depends largely on winning individual projects rather than recurring revenue. Multi-year maintenance contracts are an exception; customer purchase orders generally do not guarantee purchases and may be cancelled before shipment. One customer supplies a substantial share of revenue, making its orders particularly important. Orion’s credit agreement also restricts additional borrowing, acquisitions, investments and dividends.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in OESX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

OESX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Orion’s results hinge on large customers’ lighting-retrofit spending and concentrated project orders; Signify and Current Lighting Solutions are also important competitors outside this list.

  • Acuity Inc. competes for commercial customers’ lighting spending with fixtures and controls that rival Orion’s lighting systems and retrofit services integrating controls. Watch its Acuity Brands Lighting business, where fixtures paired with electronics and controls compete with Orion’s offering.

  • LSI Industries Inc competes with Orion for non-residential customers’ lighting and service orders, including projects across regional and national locations. Its lighting-segment sales are the relevant line to watch for Orion, rather than total sales, which also include retail displays.

  • Energy Focus, Inc. competes with Orion for commercial customers buying energy-efficient LED retrofit products, but also sells specialized lighting for military ships. Its commercial LED retrofit kits and emergency-backup LED tubes are more relevant to Orion’s competition than its U.S. Navy and allied-force lighting sales.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Orion, the Fed’s decision on its benchmark interest rate matters because its floating-rate credit-facility and term debt can cost more or less to service as rates change.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Orion Energy Systems, Inc. earningsThis company

    Orion's project-based lighting sales can swing with orders and product mix, so this report shows whether its lighting work is bringing in profitable revenue, not just sales.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    LSI Industries Inc earningsLYTS

    LSI Industries' lighting-segment sales will show how much business this direct rival is doing in the non-residential projects Orion also pursues.