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What happened with MVIS today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MVIS in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

MicroVision helps vehicles and automated machines detect and classify objects around them. It combines lidar sensors with software for driver assistance, autonomous driving and industrial automation, and is also pursuing security and defense applications. Customers include vehicle manufacturers, their major component suppliers and industrial equipment makers.

Product sales and technology licensing provide most of its revenue, with development work contributing less. Existing business includes supplying MOVIA L sensors for customer evaluations, including at Daimler Truck North America and its affiliates. Its automotive model aims to turn development and qualification work into high-volume supply agreements and production royalties; those royalties are anticipated, not an established automotive revenue stream.

Revenue depends on a small group of customers, with an agricultural equipment manufacturer contributing the largest share. Broader commercialization depends on customers selecting its technology, completing lengthy testing and qualification, and launching products that use it. MicroVision relies on contract manufacturers rather than making the products itself.

Operations have been funded mainly by issuing shares and convertible debt, rather than by customer revenue. Its secured convertible debt requires minimum cash liquidity and limits additional borrowing, liens and investments.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MVIS’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MVIS says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

MicroVision’s results hinge on turning lidar evaluations, including those with Daimler Truck North America, into production orders while raising financing to sustain continuing losses.

  • Innoviz Technologies Ltd. competes with MicroVision for automakers’ and vehicle suppliers’ production programs, selling lidar sensors and software that identifies objects for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). Watch Innoviz’s progress on passenger-car and commercial-vehicle programs, where both companies seek production business.

  • Hesai Group competes with MicroVision to supply short- and long-range lidar to automakers and their direct suppliers developing Level 2 and Level 3 driver-assistance systems. Watch adoption of Hesai’s AT and ET sensors and its FT blind-spot sensors in those systems, where the two companies seek the same customers.

  • Ouster competes with MicroVision for automotive, industrial automation, robotics and infrastructure customers buying lidar sensors and software that interprets their surroundings. Its OS lidar and Gemini and BlueCity software give investors products to watch as MicroVision pursues customers beyond automotive.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Microvision Inc earningsThis company

    MicroVision's report will show whether lidar product sales are gaining traction and whether the cost of making and delivering them is still eating into revenue.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Ouster, Inc. earningsOUST

    Ouster's report will show what demand and pricing for lidar and related software among industrial automation, robotics, and infrastructure customers may signal for MicroVision.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    Hesai Group earningsHSAI

    Hesai's report will show what automakers' and suppliers' demand and pricing for automotive lidar mean for MicroVision as it pursues similar programs.