MVIS in three months: buy, wait or sell?
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MicroVision helps vehicles and automated machines detect and classify objects around them. It combines lidar sensors with software for driver assistance, autonomous driving and industrial automation, and is also pursuing security and defense applications. Customers include vehicle manufacturers, their major component suppliers and industrial equipment makers.
Product sales and technology licensing provide most of its revenue, with development work contributing less. Existing business includes supplying MOVIA L sensors for customer evaluations, including at Daimler Truck North America and its affiliates. Its automotive model aims to turn development and qualification work into high-volume supply agreements and production royalties; those royalties are anticipated, not an established automotive revenue stream.
Revenue depends on a small group of customers, with an agricultural equipment manufacturer contributing the largest share. Broader commercialization depends on customers selecting its technology, completing lengthy testing and qualification, and launching products that use it. MicroVision relies on contract manufacturers rather than making the products itself.
Operations have been funded mainly by issuing shares and convertible debt, rather than by customer revenue. Its secured convertible debt requires minimum cash liquidity and limits additional borrowing, liens and investments.
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MicroVision’s results hinge on turning lidar evaluations, including those with Daimler Truck North America, into production orders while raising financing to sustain continuing losses.
Innoviz Technologies Ltd. competes with MicroVision for automakers’ and vehicle suppliers’ production programs, selling lidar sensors and software that identifies objects for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). Watch Innoviz’s progress on passenger-car and commercial-vehicle programs, where both companies seek production business.
Hesai Group competes with MicroVision to supply short- and long-range lidar to automakers and their direct suppliers developing Level 2 and Level 3 driver-assistance systems. Watch adoption of Hesai’s AT and ET sensors and its FT blind-spot sensors in those systems, where the two companies seek the same customers.
Ouster competes with MicroVision for automotive, industrial automation, robotics and infrastructure customers buying lidar sensors and software that interprets their surroundings. Its OS lidar and Gemini and BlueCity software give investors products to watch as MicroVision pursues customers beyond automotive.
Microvision Inc earningsThis company
MicroVision's report will show whether lidar product sales are gaining traction and whether the cost of making and delivering them is still eating into revenue.
Read product revenue and total revenue alongside the cost of making and delivering products. Rising product revenue without costs climbing as fast would suggest customer demand is turning into more sustainable deliveries. Flat or falling revenue with costs still high would suggest evaluations and small sales have yet to become a scale that can support the business.
Ouster, Inc. earningsOUST
Ouster's report will show what demand and pricing for lidar and related software among industrial automation, robotics, and infrastructure customers may signal for MicroVision.
Read Ouster's revenue alongside gross margin, the share of sales left after product costs. Revenue growth with margin holding up would suggest customers are buying lidar and software at prices that better cover costs. But Ouster competes for those customers, so its growth also means MicroVision faces a stronger rival. Weaker revenue or falling margin could point to softer demand or pricing pressure. If Ouster does not break out these markets, its figures are only an industry signal, not evidence of MicroVision's own orders.
Hesai Group earningsHSAI
Hesai's report will show what automakers' and suppliers' demand and pricing for automotive lidar mean for MicroVision as it pursues similar programs.
If the report breaks out automotive lidar sales or deliveries, read them alongside gross margin, the share of sales left after product costs. More sales or deliveries with margin holding up would suggest demand for similar driver-assistance programs is growing, while also showing Hesai may be winning business MicroVision is pursuing. Weak sales or deliveries and squeezed margins would point to cautious adoption or tougher pricing, making scale and profit harder for MicroVision to achieve in similar programs. If the figures do not separate automotive business, overall results cannot prove automotive demand directly.