Stock daily read

What happened with HSAI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HSAI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Automakers and their suppliers buy Hesai Group’s LiDAR sensors to help vehicles sense their surroundings for advanced driver assistance. Autonomous vehicle fleets and robotics customers also use its sensors for navigation and collision avoidance. Hesai manufactures and tests the products in its own facilities. LiDAR sales generate nearly all revenue, automotive applications contribute a substantial share, and the AT series brings in most revenue.

Revenue depends on customers taking vehicles and robots from testing into commercial production, then ordering sensors for those products. Selection for a vehicle model does not guarantee orders: customers can delay or cancel projects, and sales ultimately depend on demand for the equipped models. A small group of major customers supplies most revenue. Large automotive buyers also press for lower prices, so Hesai needs production-cost savings to offset those reductions.

Hesai remains on the U.S. Department of Defense’s Chinese Military Companies List, a designation it is challenging in court. The designation restricts direct Defense Department contracts and bars contracts or funding from the Department of Homeland Security; it is not a blanket ban on commercial U.S. sales. Certain exports of its LiDAR products to the United States also face elevated tariffs.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HSAI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HSAI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Hesai’s results hinge on automotive LiDAR adoption, production volumes and pricing against rivals such as RoboSense, an important competitor missing from this list.

  • Innoviz Technologies Ltd. competes with Hesai to sell automotive LiDAR sensors to carmakers and the suppliers that provide their vehicle systems. Watch its passenger-car programs for advanced driver assistance and autonomous driving for signs of adoption and competitive pricing pressure in Hesai’s market.

  • Ouster competes with Hesai to sell LiDAR sensors to customers building automotive, robotics and industrial systems. Its robotics and industrial sales offer a window into demand beyond cars, where Hesai sells sensors for delivery robots and automated warehouses.

  • MicroVision competes with Hesai for carmakers and their system suppliers buying LiDAR for advanced driver assistance and autonomous driving. Watch its high-volume automotive supply agreements and anticipated production royalties to distinguish progress toward production from one-off development revenue.

  • Aurora Innovation uses Hesai LiDAR alongside its own sensing technology in its autonomous-driving platform, linking Hesai’s opportunities to deployment of its subscription-based driverless trucking service. Watch truck rollout news and restrictions on Chinese-origin LiDAR, which could affect Aurora’s access to components and deployment plans.

  • Serve Robotics Inc. uses Hesai LiDAR in its sidewalk delivery robots, so expanding its fleet creates sensor demand for Hesai. Watch fleet expansion in its food-delivery business rather than treating delivery-order growth alone as new sensor demand.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Aurora Innovation, Inc. earningsAUR

    Aurora Innovation's report will show how its driverless trucking service is progressing and whether deployment or component restrictions are affecting a customer platform that uses Hesai LiDAR.

  2. Time to be announced

    Microvision Inc earningsMVIS

    MicroVision's report will show whether automakers are moving its LiDAR programs from development toward production, revealing how far the market for Hesai's automotive customers is progressing.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Ouster, Inc. earningsOUST

    Ouster's report will show whether robotics and industrial customers are buying LiDAR, offering a read on demand for Hesai's sensors in uses such as delivery robots and automated warehouses.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Hesai Group earningsThis company

    Lower-priced ADAS products make up more of Hesai Group's LiDAR business, and this report will show whether sales can grow without eroding gross margin.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Serve Robotics Inc. earningsSERV

    Serve Robotics' report will show whether the fleet of sidewalk delivery robots using Hesai LiDAR is expanding; growth in delivery orders alone does not establish greater sensor demand.