Stock daily read

What happened with MGEE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MGEE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

MGE Energy is a holding company whose main business supplies electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses in and around Madison, Wisconsin. Its subsidiary MGE generates and buys electricity, delivers it through its distribution network, and bills customers at regulated rates. Electricity supplies most utility revenue. MGE also buys and distributes natural gas across a wider area of south-central Wisconsin. Other subsidiaries own power-generation interests leased to MGE, earning a return through those leases.

MGE sells substantially all its generation into the regional MISO electricity market and buys the power needed to serve customers from that market. Its business depends on local energy use, with summer cooling and winter heating affecting demand. The Public Service Commission of Wisconsin controls customer rates and key investment decisions; whether and when it allows costs to be recovered through bills is central to the company's earnings.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MGEE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MGEE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Alliant Energy's Wisconsin Power and Light and MGE both generate electricity and sell regulated electricity and gas to Wisconsin customers, making WPL a useful comparison for regional weather and rate decisions. Watch WPL's Wisconsin electricity sales rather than Alliant's Iowa business when assessing MGE's customer demand.

  • WEC Energy Group and MGE share exposure to Wisconsin utility regulation through electricity and gas service to customers, and both invest in American Transmission Company (ATC). Returns from ATC, which owns and operates power transmission facilities, offer a direct comparison for MGE's transmission-investment earnings.

  • CMS Energy's Consumers utility and MGE both sell electricity and gas to customers whose demand responds to Upper Midwest weather, though Consumers operates in Michigan and MGE in Wisconsin. Consumers' weather-related electricity and gas sales offer a comparison for the demand changes that affect MGE's utility earnings.

  • Ameren offers a comparison for MGE's regulated utility and transmission returns: both supply electricity and gas to Midwestern customers and invest in power transmission. Watch Ameren Transmission separately from its Missouri and Illinois customer-service businesses when comparing MGE's transmission investments.

  • Avista Corporation provides a comparison for MGE's utility earnings model rather than its local demand: both generate and distribute electricity and distribute natural gas to customers under regulated rates, but serve different territories. Avista's purchases of electricity to meet customer needs and sales of surplus power are worth comparing with MGE's purchases and sales through the MISO market.

  • Unitil Corporation is a comparison for MGE's smaller regulated utility business: both earn electricity and gas revenue largely from households and businesses. Watch Unitil's residential and business electricity and gas sales when assessing how customer demand affects MGE, rather than treating it as a power-generation comparison.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Alliant Energy Corporation earningsLNT

    Alliant Energy's Wisconsin Power and Light serves Wisconsin customers, so its report shows whether local electricity demand and regulated utility earnings are moving in a way that may also matter to MGE.

  2. Time to be announced

    WEC Energy Group, Inc. earningsWEC

    WEC Energy Group has an interest in American Transmission Company, so its report offers a read on earnings from the transmission investment it shares with MGE.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    MGE Energy Inc earningsThis company

    MGE Energy earns mainly from regulated electric and gas service, and this report will show whether approved electric investments and customer use are translating into stronger utility earnings.

  2. Time to be announced

    Avista Corporation earningsAVA

    Avista buys electricity to meet customer needs and sells surplus power, so its report gives a comparison for MGE's purchases and sales through the MISO market.