Stock daily read

What happened with AVA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AVA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Avista Corporation’s main business, Avista Utilities, supplies electricity in eastern Washington, northern Idaho and a small part of Montana, and natural gas in parts of Washington, Idaho and Oregon. Households and businesses pay a basic service charge plus charges for the energy they use. Electricity brings in more revenue than natural gas, and retail service accounts for most revenue. Its smaller subsidiary AEL&P is the sole electric utility serving Juneau, Alaska.

Avista Utilities generates electricity and buys additional power to meet customer demand, then delivers it through its transmission and distribution networks. It buys natural gas for delivery through its gas system. Wholesale purchases and sales help balance available supplies with customer needs. Hydroelectric generation is an important source of power, so snowpack and river flows affect how much electricity Avista must buy and its supply costs.

Regulators set retail rates to allow recovery of approved costs and a reasonable return on utility infrastructure. Avista cannot raise those rates without approval, so earnings and cash flow depend on whether—and when—regulators allow cost recovery. Washington also restricts its power sources: Avista generally cannot use coal-fired electricity to serve the state’s retail customers, with limited exceptions for short-term purchases.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AVA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AVA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Avista depends on Portland General Electric to operate its Coyote Springs 2 gas-fired power plant; both also face Pacific Northwest power-supply conditions, with PGE selling electricity to Oregon customers. News about Coyote Springs 2 operations is the most direct connection to Avista’s electricity supply.

  • Avista and IDACORP’s main subsidiary, Idaho Power, both sell regulated electricity to Idaho customers, and their connected grids support western power purchases and sales. Watch Idaho Power’s decisions on recovering electricity-service costs through customer rates: both utilities face the risk that approved rates recover costs late or not fully.

  • NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. took over Avista’s Colstrip coal-generation interest on January 1, 2026; both sell regulated electricity and natural gas to customers in the northern Rockies. Watch NorthWestern’s peak-demand power purchases and surplus-power sales for a view of the regional market where Avista says it will obtain replacement energy as needed.

  • Avista’s regional gas business and Northwest Natural Holding Company’s NW Natural utility, which supplies gas to customers in Oregon and southwestern Washington, face similar supply conditions, heating demand and regulatory pressures. NW Natural’s news on gas delivery constraints and heating demand offers a comparison for Avista’s gas operations.

Agenda

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Avista, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate that guides borrowing costs across the economy—matters because it relies on debt and credit facilities to fund utility investment, maturing debt and working capital, so higher borrowing costs can absorb more cash.

in 8 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    IDACORP, Inc. earningsIDA

    IDACORP’s report will show whether Idaho Power is recovering electricity-service costs promptly through customer rates, the same regulatory challenge Avista faces in Idaho.

  2. Time to be announced

    Portland General Electric Company earningsPOR

    Portland General Electric’s report will show whether the Coyote Springs 2 gas plant is operating reliably; Avista depends on its output and could need replacement power if it is constrained.

in 14 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Avista Corporation earningsThis company

    Avista earns mainly from regulated electricity and natural gas service, and this report will show whether approved rates and customer growth are keeping pace with operating and financing costs.

in 15 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Northwest Natural Holding Company earningsNWN

    Northwest Natural Holding Company’s report will show how gas supply and heating demand affect its Oregon and southwestern Washington customers, offering a nearby read-through for Avista’s gas business.