Stock daily read

What happened with LOB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LOB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Live Oak Bancshares operates Live Oak Bank, which serves small businesses and professionals across the United States through an online platform rather than traditional branches. It focuses its lending on selected industries. Most loans carry partial guarantees from the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA), with a smaller share under U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) programs.

The bank gathers deposits to fund lending. Borrowers pay interest, and the company also earns interest on securities; after paying interest on deposits and other borrowings, the difference supplies most of its revenue. A second source is selling government-guaranteed portions of loans to secondary-market buyers. It earns gains on those sales and collects revenue for continuing to service the loans, while retaining credit exposure on the unguaranteed portions.

The business depends on attracting and retaining deposits, the gap between lending returns and funding costs, and continued access to SBA and USDA guarantees and loan-sale markets. Its SBA Preferred Lender status allows clients to avoid the potentially lengthy approval process used for nonpreferred lenders, but the SBA can revoke that status. Banking rules also restrict lending, investments and deposit pricing, and require adequate capital to support operations and growth.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LOB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LOB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Byline Bancorp, Inc. competes with Live Oak as a major nationwide lender to small businesses using U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) guarantees. Both are exposed to how many government-guaranteed loans they originate and the prices those loans fetch when sold to investors.

  • United Community Banks, Inc. competes with Live Oak for business borrowers nationwide by making loans partly guaranteed by the SBA and, to a lesser extent, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Its activity in these lending programs offers a view of the same borrower market Live Oak serves, beyond United Community's southeastern branch footprint.

  • First Financial Bancorp competes with Live Oak's industry-focused business lending through Oak Street Funding and First Franchise Capital, which lend nationwide to professional-service businesses and restaurant franchisees. Watch lending to those customer groups rather than its broader regional banking business.

  • Hope Bancorp, Inc., through Bank of Hope, competes with Live Oak for business borrowers seeking SBA-backed loans and commercial financing. Its offices that originate loans across multiple states extend that competition beyond its branches, making its business-lending expansion worth watching.

  • OP Bancorp competes with Live Oak through Open Bank's SBA-backed small-business lending, although its focus is narrower: Southern California and Korean-American customers. Its loans under the SBA's 7(a) and 504 programs are the business to watch for this overlap, rather than its broader consumer lending.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. earningsThis company

    Live Oak Bancshares earns interest from small-business loans and income from selling government-guaranteed loans, so this report shows whether lending growth is turning into profit.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Byline Bancorp, Inc. earningsBY

    Byline Bancorp's report shows how its SBA-backed small-business lending and loan-sale income are faring, offering a read on the borrower market and loan-sale channel it shares with Live Oak Bancshares.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Live Oak, the Fed’s decision signals how borrowing costs may change: rates affect what the bank earns on repricing loans and pays for deposits and borrowings, shaping its net interest income—the difference between that interest earned and paid.