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BrasilAgro buys underdeveloped or underused farmland, improves its infrastructure and farming methods, and produces crops and raises cattle. It operates owned and leased farms in Brazil, Paraguay and Bolivia, with Brazil supplying most revenue. Grains, led by soybeans, and sugarcane generate most operating revenue. Selling developed farms to property buyers is another central way it earns money from its land investments.
Agricultural buyers pay for its harvests. BrasilAgro sells all its soybeans to import/export companies in Brazil and has exclusive agreements to supply Brenco with sugarcane from specified farms. Sales depend heavily on a small customer group: a few buyers supply most revenue, and one customer accounts for most sugarcane revenue.
The business depends on buying land at workable prices, improving its productivity and finding buyers willing to pay more for developed farms. Commodity prices influence both farming income and land values, while farmland can be difficult to sell. Brazilian restrictions on foreign-controlled companies acquiring or leasing rural land may require official approval. Authorities are investigating whether BrasilAgro's acquisitions complied with those rules, which could restrict its land strategy.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
BrasilAgro’s results hinge on crop margins and gains from developing and selling farmland; SLC Participações and Terra Santa Agro are important rivals for land purchases that this list does not show.
Cresud SA controls BrasilAgro and shares its exposure to agricultural profitability and farmland appreciation: both sell crops and cattle and develop farmland to sell at a gain. Watch Cresud’s agricultural production and land-development-and-sales results for a read on those shared drivers.
ADECOAGRO S.A. and BrasilAgro both sell agricultural commodities and buy and sell farmland in South America, exposing them to crop prices, harvest yields and land values; Adecoagro explicitly names BrasilAgro as a farming competitor. Its Crops segment results offer a closer comparison for BrasilAgro’s grain business than its processed sugar, ethanol and energy businesses.
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)
For BrasilAgro, weekly US crude oil and gasoline stock readings track how tight fuel supply is, which can move gasoline-linked ethanol prices and the revenue its sugarcane business earns.
Expected-0.3MLast release-8.557M
If it comes in above expectations
If the reading is above the -0.3M estimate, it is above the previous -8.557M. If crude oil or gasoline stocks are above the estimate, looser supply may push fuel prices and linked ethanol prices down, weighing on what BrasilAgro earns from sugarcane.
If it comes in below expectations
If crude oil or gasoline stocks are below the estimate, tighter supply may lift fuel prices and linked ethanol prices, supporting what BrasilAgro earns from sugarcane.
Cresud SA earningsCRESY
Cresud's farming and farmland-sale results will show what shared crop and land-value conditions may mean for BrasilAgro.
Read farming results separately from gains on farmland sales: the first reflects crop and livestock operations, while the second reflects developing and selling land. Strength in both would point to agricultural and land-market conditions that may support BrasilAgro; weakness in either would flag pressure on that business path, but Cresud's individual land sales do not establish BrasilAgro's results.
ADECOAGRO S.A. earningsAGRO
Adecoagro's Crops results will show how crop-market conditions facing a direct farming competitor compare with those affecting BrasilAgro's grain business.
Read Adecoagro's Crops results alongside harvest and crop sales to judge whether prices or output are driving the change. Stronger results would suggest crop-market conditions that may support BrasilAgro's grain sales; weaker results would flag possible pressure in shared markets, but the companies grow different crops in different places and execute differently, so Adecoagro's result is not BrasilAgro's.