Stock daily read

What happened with LION today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LION in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Films generate most of Lionsgate Studios’ revenue, with home entertainment and international licensing together bringing in much more than theatrical releases. The company produces films and buys rights to others. Theaters pass on a share of ticket sales, digital platforms pay for licenses or share rental and purchase proceeds, and overseas distributors pay for rights in their territories. New releases and older library titles can earn through successive distribution channels.

Television production is the other major business. Networks and streaming platforms pay to license its programs, including original series supplied to Starz, which is now a separate company. After an initial run, Lionsgate can license programs again to other domestic and international buyers.

This business requires spending on production, rights and marketing before revenue arrives over time. Earnings depend on the appeal of particular films and programs and on keeping the rights needed to sell them: rights can be limited by medium, territory and duration. Home-entertainment sales also lean on a small group of retailers and distributors; Amazon and its subsidiaries account for a substantial share of company revenue.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LION’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LION says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Lionsgate’s results hinge on film performance and buyers’ programming budgets; Warner Bros. and Paramount are also important studio rivals to watch beyond this list.

  • Starz Entertainment Corp. pays Lionsgate for films under multiyear new-release and library agreements and for original series offered to its paying subscribers. Since the separation, those film and series licenses count toward Lionsgate’s consolidated revenue rather than being eliminated as internal transactions.

  • Sony’s Pictures business competes with Lionsgate to produce and distribute films and television shows, vying for audiences and buyers of programming rights. Watch its film and television production business, rather than PlayStation, for the competition facing Lionsgate.

  • The Walt Disney Company competes with Lionsgate for moviegoers, theatrical releases and payments from buyers licensing film and television programming. Disney’s release schedule is worth watching because competing films’ timing affects Lionsgate’s own release decisions.

  • Comcast is both a rival and a buyer: its studios compete with Lionsgate in entertainment production and distribution, while Peacock and Xfinity pay to license Lionsgate content. Watch content purchases for Peacock’s subscription service and Xfinity’s pay-per-title offering for the customer side of that relationship.

  • Lionsgate depends materially on Amazon, which buys discs for resale and licenses programming for Prime Video, while also producing competing content. Amazon and its subsidiaries accounted for approximately 18% of Lionsgate’s fiscal 2026 revenue, making those purchases and licenses important to watch.

  • Netflix pays to license Lionsgate programming for its subscription service but also competes with Lionsgate to acquire and develop original films and television shows. Watch its purchases of licensed programming alongside its original-content plans to distinguish demand for Lionsgate’s shows from competition for new projects.

  • Angel Studios, Inc. competes with Lionsgate for theatrical audiences and distribution opportunities for films and series. Both receive a share of ticket sales from theaters, so watch Angel’s theatrical releases and box-office performance for competition facing Lionsgate’s films.

  • Ticket sales for Lionsgate films at AMC generate revenue for both companies: AMC licenses the films, collects admissions and pays Lionsgate its distributor share. Watch AMC’s admissions revenue rather than food-and-beverage sales for the theatrical demand that matters to Lionsgate.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    NetFlix Inc earningsNFLX

    Netflix's report will show whether its demand for Lionsgate's licensed programs is holding up, even as its own productions compete for new projects.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Amazon.Com Inc earningsAMZN

    Amazon's report will help show whether the major Lionsgate customer continues buying its discs for resale and licensing programs for Prime Video.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS, INC. earningsAMC

    AMC's report will show whether moviegoers are buying tickets, shaping the admissions revenue it shares with Lionsgate when it licenses its films.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Lionsgate Studios Corp. earningsThis company

    This report will show whether Lionsgate's film release windows and television-program licenses are still bringing in revenue and segment profit.

  2. Time to be announced

    Sony Group Corporation earningsSONY

    Sony's Pictures results will show how strongly it competes with Lionsgate for viewers and buyers of film and television rights.