Stock daily read

What happened with ANGX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ANGX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Angel Studios, Inc. serves audiences seeking values-based entertainment. Its largest revenue source is Angel Guild, whose members pay monthly or annual fees for early streaming access and a vote on which films and shows the company releases. Memberships also help fund original productions. Projects must pass a threshold based on member votes to be approved through this process. Most content on the Angel App is otherwise free to watch.

The company also earns money when audiences buy cinema tickets and when distributors such as Amazon, Apple and Netflix license its films and shows. Cinemas keep part of ticket receipts and pass the balance to Angel Studios, sometimes through another distributor. Under its distribution agreements, Angel generally shares profits with filmmakers after deducting verified distribution and marketing costs. The business depends on keeping Guild members engaged and choosing titles audiences want to watch; substantial theatrical marketing spending comes before a film’s popularity is known.

Its former movie-filtering and streaming business remains subject to a permanent injunction against infringement and circumvention involving specified studios’ works. A Disney settlement also requires it to certify that covered works are not stored on its computers or servers. Breaches can lead to enforcement against company assets.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ANGX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ANGX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Lionsgate competes with Angel Studios for cinema audiences and payments from streaming platforms: both produce and distribute films and television shows. Its film sales, rentals and licensing deals are worth watching alongside Angel's box-office and content-licensing revenue.

  • Netflix both competes with Angel Studios for paying streaming viewers and content rights and pays Angel to license its films and shows. Netflix's content-licensing deals therefore matter to Angel as potential revenue, not just competition for Angel Guild memberships.

  • The Walt Disney Company competes with Angel Studios for film audiences, streaming subscriptions and content rights, including animated and family entertainment. Disney produces films and series and collects subscription and advertising revenue from streaming; its animated and family releases are the titles to watch against Angel's theatrical slate.

  • Gaia, Inc. and Angel Studios both depend on attracting and keeping paying members around distinctive content, rather than offering the same programming. Gaia sells subscriptions to yoga, documentaries and other specialized videos; its membership growth and retention offer a comparison for Angel Guild's ability to sustain membership revenue.

  • Starz Entertainment Corp. competes with Angel Studios for viewers' streaming subscription budgets, although it targets women and underserved audiences rather than Angel's values-based community. Starz sells ad-free access to films and series; its paying subscriber count is the concrete measure to compare with Angel Guild membership.

  • CuriosityStream Inc. offers a comparison for Angel Studios' ability to earn from distinctive programming both on its own service and by selling viewing rights to other distributors. CuriosityStream focuses on factual programs such as science and history; its licensing deals are the useful comparison for Angel's film and television licensing revenue.

  • Coinbase Global and Angel Studios are both exposed to crypto-market developments, but through different businesses: Coinbase charges customers fees to trade crypto, while Angel says its bitcoin holdings can significantly affect its stock price. Watch Coinbase's consumer trading-fee revenue and regulatory news as crypto-market signals, not measures of demand for Angel's films.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    NetFlix Inc earningsNFLX

    Netflix's report offers a read on a major streaming platform's demand for content and rights, which matters to Angel Studios' opportunity to license films and shows to platforms.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Angel Studios’ Fed interest-rate decision matters because it can influence the Prime Rate used to set the company’s variable-rate term-loan cost, changing what Angel Studios pays to borrow.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Starz Entertainment Corp. earningsSTRZ

    Starz Entertainment Corp.'s paid-subscriber trend shows whether viewers are still paying for streaming, drawing on the same subscription budget Angel Studios seeks for Angel Guild.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Lionsgate Studios Corp. earningsLION

    Lionsgate's report shows demand from moviegoers and platform buyers, a useful read for Angel Studios' theatrical box office and content licensing.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Angel Studios, Inc. earningsThis company

    Angel Studios' report will show whether Angel Guild fees and film distribution revenue are keeping pace with the costs of serving members and promoting content.