Stock daily read

What happened with LAD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LAD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Lithia Motors operates dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom and Canada, with online shopping through Driveway and GreenCars. Vehicle buyers provide most of its revenue, and new-vehicle sales are its largest revenue line. A sale also brings opportunities to take a trade-in for resale, arrange financing and sell warranty and insurance contracts. Owners then pay its stores for repairs and maintenance, which are its largest contributor to profitability.

The company earns commissions from arranging third-party vehicle financing. It also lends directly through its in-house financing business, including DFC, earning interest and fees from borrowers. What it keeps depends on its funding costs and customers’ ability to repay. Consumer-finance rules limit certain fees and require disclosures, including explicit disclosure of lender commissions in the United Kingdom.

The retail business depends heavily on new-vehicle demand and sales margins, manufacturers supplying vehicles, and buyers having access to affordable credit. Its stores may sell new vehicles, service them and use manufacturers’ brands only as their franchise agreements permit. Manufacturers control important aspects of store operations and can terminate or decline to renew those agreements.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LAD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LAD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond retail margins and highly profitable repairs and maintenance, Lithia's results depend on vehicle supply and brand performance at Honda, Ford and BMW.

  • AutoNation competes with Lithia for buyers of new and used cars, repair customers and financing business, including loans made by their own finance arms. Watch AutoNation's parts-and-service revenue and customer-loan performance for clues to the same spending and credit conditions facing Lithia.

  • Group 1 Automotive competes with Lithia in both the United States and United Kingdom, selling new and used vehicles and earning fees for arranging buyers' financing and selling service and insurance contracts. Its repair revenue offers a read on customer spending beyond car purchases in those shared markets.

  • Asbury Automotive competes with Lithia for new- and used-car buyers and the financing, insurance and repair income that follows each sale. Watch its service and financing-product business alongside vehicle margins: Lithia's aftersales gross profit rose in 2025 while new-vehicle gross profit fell.

  • Penske Automotive competes with Lithia through dealerships selling multiple car brands in shared markets, including the United States and United Kingdom. Its retail-car dealership revenue and gross profit are the useful comparison for Lithia, rather than its commercial-truck and distribution businesses.

  • Sonic Automotive competes with Lithia for new-car buyers and related vehicle services through manufacturer-authorized dealerships. Watch vehicle availability in that business: most manufacturers give Sonic more vehicles when it sells more units, tying supply to sales pace.

  • CarMax competes with Lithia's stores and Driveway for used-car buyers, trade-ins and financing, selling cars both online and in stores and lending to its own retail customers. Its used-car sales and customer-financing results offer a focused comparison for Lithia's business serving buyers unable or unwilling to buy new.

  • Carvana competes with Lithia's Driveway and dealerships for used-car buyers and trade-ins through its online buying-and-selling platform. Watch its retail vehicle sales volume: those sales also create financing and trade-in revenue opportunities, much as used-car sales do for Lithia.

  • Lithia depends on Toyota for vehicles it sells to customers, so Toyota's supply and brand demand affect dealership sales and margins. Watch availability of popular models and quality problems: Lithia says scarce popular vehicles typically earn higher margins, while improving supply has pressured those margins.

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  • Lithia relies on Stellantis to supply vehicles for its dealership customers, making the manufacturer's production, model appeal and quality important to sales and margins. Watch Stellantis's vehicle supply and quality news: problems can hurt Lithia's new-car sales and the financing, trade-in and repair opportunities those sales bring.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Lithia Motors, Inc. earningsThis company

    Lithia's report will show whether aftersales service and finance-and-insurance income can keep cushioning pressure on new- and used-vehicle gross profit.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. earningsABG

    Asbury Automotive's report will show whether service and financing products can support the dealership business it shares with Lithia when vehicle profits are under pressure.

  2. Time to be announced

    Stellantis N.V. earningsSTLA

    Stellantis's report will show how its production and vehicle quality are faring, both of which affect the cars Lithia can offer customers.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Carvana Co. earningsCVNA

    Carvana's report will show whether online used-car demand is holding up, in a market where it competes with Lithia's Driveway and stores.

  2. Time to be announced

    Group 1 Automotive, Inc. earningsGPI

    Group 1 Automotive's repair revenue will offer a read on what vehicle owners spend beyond purchases in markets where Lithia also operates.

  3. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Lithia, the Fed’s decision signals the direction of borrowing costs: higher rates can make vehicle loans less affordable for buyers and raise funding costs for its captive lender and vehicle inventory, while lower rates can ease those pressures.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    AutoNation, Inc. earningsAN

    AutoNation's customer-loan results will offer a read on repayment pressure among car buyers, who also matter to Lithia's in-house lender.