Stock daily read

What happened with IX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

IX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

ORIX Corporation lends to companies and individuals and buys assets that businesses need, such as vehicles, equipment and aircraft, to lease to them. Borrowers pay interest and lessees pay for using the assets. ORIX funds these activities through borrowings, capital markets and deposits, seeking to earn more than its funding costs.

It also owns and operates businesses rather than only financing them. These include real estate, renewable energy and airport operations, including Kansai International Airport. It manages assets for outside investors for fees and invests in companies with the aim of improving them and earning gains when it sells. Its life-insurance business collects premiums and earns investment income. Services provide the largest revenue stream, followed by operating leases and life-insurance premiums and related investment income.

Most revenue comes from Japan, although ORIX also operates across Asia, the Americas, Europe and Australia. No single customer supplies a large share of total revenue. The business depends on access to funding at an acceptable cost, customers making payments, and the income and resale value of its assets and investments. Regulatory capital requirements also restrict part of the capital in its banking and life-insurance operations.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in IX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

IX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group competes with ORIX to finance Japanese businesses, lease assets to customers and lend to consumers, exposing both to borrowing demand, funding costs and credit quality. Watch its Japanese corporate and consumer lending results for clues to conditions facing ORIX’s financing businesses.

  • Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group overlaps with ORIX in lending to businesses and consumers, leasing assets and managing clients’ investments. Its Japanese lending and leasing results offer a comparison for ORIX as both face changes in demand, funding costs and credit quality.

  • Mizuho Financial Group and ORIX both finance Japanese individuals and businesses and manage clients’ investments, sharing exposure to borrowing demand and credit quality. Mizuho’s lending to small and medium-sized businesses is a useful comparison for ORIX’s domestic SME financing business.

  • Nomura Holdings and ORIX both manage stocks, bonds and alternative investments for institutional investors and financial intermediaries, tying their asset-management businesses to investment markets and client demand. Watch Nomura’s assets under management and management fees as a comparison for ORIX’s effort to earn fees by managing other investors’ assets.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Nomura Holdings, Inc earningsNMR

    Nomura’s report will show whether investors are keeping assets with it and generating management fees, a market comparison for ORIX’s asset-management business.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For ORIX, the Fed’s rate decision matters because it changes the cost of funding US lending and leasing and the interest earned on assets whose rates move with the market, affecting the spread between what ORIX earns and pays.

in 21 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    ORIX Corporation earningsThis company

    ORIX’s report will show whether income from lending and leasing is keeping pace with funding costs, and whether service fees are still growing.

in 25 daysFri, Nov 13

  1. Time to be announced

    Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc earningsSMFG

    Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group’s report will show Japanese business and consumer borrowing demand and repayment conditions in a market shared with ORIX’s financing businesses.