Stock daily read

What happened with INSE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

INSE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Inspired Entertainment, Inc.’s largest business supplies gaming terminals, software and games to betting shops, casinos and gaming halls. It also supplies and operates gaming and amusement machines in pubs and bingo halls. Together, these land-based businesses bring in most of its revenue. Operators pay Inspired a share of machine gaming revenue or fixed rental fees, and can also buy terminals outright. Customers include William Hill, Betfred and JD Wetherspoon.

Online operators offer Inspired’s slot and casino games through its Virgo Remote Gaming System, directly or through content aggregators. Inspired earns a share of the gaming revenue attributable to its games. Its Virtual Sports business supplies computer-simulated sporting events that customers can take bets on without waiting for live matches, also mainly earning revenue shares.

Most revenue recurs under long-term contracts, so receipts depend on operators retaining players and renewing agreements. A relatively small group of customers supplies a significant part of revenue, particularly in Virtual Sports, though no single customer dominates. Most revenue comes from UK-headquartered customers, including their operations elsewhere. Inspired’s products need local gaming licenses and technical approvals, and its customers must remain licensed. Gaming taxes also reduce the revenue pool shared under many contracts.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in INSE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

INSE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Inspired depends heavily on UK machine wagering and gambling taxes, so watch William Hill’s terminal deployment and online customers Flutter and Entain—important ties missing from this list.

  • DraftKings is a key customer that offers Inspired’s online casino games to its players and pays Inspired a share of those games’ net gaming revenue. Watch wagering on Inspired’s games, rather than DraftKings’ sports betting results, for the direct link to Inspired’s royalties.

  • Caesars offers Inspired’s online casino content to its players, giving Inspired a share of the net gaming revenue those games generate. Watch Caesars Palace Wheel of Wins, Inspired’s Hybrid Dealer game rolled out in Michigan and Ontario after its New Jersey launch, as a concrete sign of that content’s distribution.

  • Rush Street Interactive offers Inspired’s casino games to players on its online service, and Inspired earns a share of what the operator retains from those games after winnings, promotions and gambling taxes or levies. Its net gaming revenue from Inspired titles—not all of its online casino and sports betting revenue—is the direct driver of those fees.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Rush Street Interactive, Inc. earningsRSI

    Rush Street Interactive’s report can show the net gaming revenue its players generate on Inspired Entertainment casino games, the direct basis for Inspired’s revenue share.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Inspired Entertainment, Inc. earningsThis company

    Inspired Entertainment’s report will show whether growth in Interactive can offset pressure on Virtual Sports and support operating contribution across its businesses.