Stock daily read

What happened with GD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

GD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

The U.S. government pays General Dynamics to build and maintain military equipment and run technology systems. Shipbuilding is its largest business, led by nuclear-powered submarines: Electric Boat designs and builds Columbia- and Virginia-class submarines for the U.S. Navy. Another major source of revenue is technology work, including GDIT’s modernization of federal IT systems. The company also supplies combat vehicles, including Abrams tanks and Stryker vehicles, and weapons and ammunition. Production contracts generally pay a fixed price for agreed work; many engineering and support contracts reimburse costs and pay an additional fee.

Commercial aviation is a substantial second business. Gulfstream sells business jets to individuals and companies, while Gulfstream and Jet Aviation provide aircraft services. Aircraft sales generate most of this business’s revenue, with maintenance and other services providing further income from aircraft already in use.

Most revenue depends on the U.S. government, so even multiyear programs need continued annual congressional funding. Delivery and contract profitability also depend on skilled workers, suppliers and the cost of completing the work, especially when the price is fixed. The aviation business depends on demand for business jets and related services. Export controls and technology-transfer rules restrict international sales and the sharing of controlled technology.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in GD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

GD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

General Dynamics relies heavily on Navy shipbuilding, federal technology budgets and business-jet demand, but investors should also watch BAE Systems, an important defense rival missing from this list.

  • General Dynamics depends on Huntington Ingalls Industries for submarine sections even as they compete to build ships for the U.S. Navy: HII shares Virginia-class construction with Electric Boat and supplies it with Columbia-class modules. HII’s progress on those modules is worth watching alongside General Dynamics’ submarine construction.

  • Lockheed Martin competes with General Dynamics for U.S. agency and allied-government spending on mission systems, defense technology and equipment support. Its Rotary and Mission Systems business is the part to watch for the overlap with General Dynamics’ defense electronics.

  • Northrop Grumman competes with General Dynamics to develop, produce and support defense electronics, mission systems and other government defense programs. Its Mission Systems results are more relevant to that rivalry than its company-wide totals, with much of its business funded by U.S. defense and intelligence customers.

  • L3Harris Technologies competes with General Dynamics’ Mission Systems business to supply military customers with tactical communications, command-and-control systems and defense electronics.

  • Leidos competes with General Dynamics’ GDIT to provide technology and national-security services to federal agencies. Watch its National Security & Digital business for the spending that overlaps with GDIT’s work upgrading government computing and networks.

  • Textron competes with General Dynamics for business-aircraft purchases and support spending through Cessna jets and aircraft services, principally in smaller aircraft classes than Gulfstream’s. Its aircraft sales and maintenance business offer a view of demand from aircraft buyers and operators, rather than a direct comparison with Gulfstream’s larger jets.

  • General Dynamics buys Pratt & Whitney Canada engines from RTX for Gulfstream’s G500 and G600, while the two companies also compete to supply defense systems to government customers.

  • Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) competes with General Dynamics’ GDIT to upgrade federal agencies’ IT, connect their systems and support their missions. Its Defense and Intelligence and Civilian businesses let investors distinguish military and intelligence demand from civilian-government spending.

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  • CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA competes with General Dynamics to supply government customers with cyber, network, software and mission-support services. Its work for U.S. agencies in software, data platforms and cyber capabilities is the relevant overlap with GDIT, rather than its commercial business.

  • Booz Allen Hamilton competes with General Dynamics’ GDIT to deliver cybersecurity, digital modernization and AI solutions paid for by federal customers. Its federal AI work is one area to watch alongside GDIT’s AI and machine-learning services.

  • General Dynamics’ Electric Boat relies on Leonardo DRS, Inc. for propulsion technology for the Navy’s Columbia-class submarines, while the companies compete in selected military sensing and computing systems.

  • General Dynamics’ Gulfstream buys important avionics and engines from Honeywell, including G650 engines, tying Honeywell’s aerospace business to Gulfstream aircraft production and support.

  • Elbit Systems competes with General Dynamics to sell military communications, ground-force systems and munitions to defense customers. Its Land business, which includes artillery, mortars and ammunition, is the part to watch alongside General Dynamics’ expansion of artillery and propellant production.

  • Boeing Company competes with General Dynamics for government defense programs through its Defense, Space & Security business, not through the commercial jets it sells mainly to airlines. Watch that defense business rather than airline-aircraft sales when comparing their exposure to defense procurement.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Northrop Grumman Corp. earningsNOC

    Northrop Grumman competes with General Dynamics in defense electronics and mission systems, and its report will show how demand and program execution are holding up in that shared market.

  2. Time to be announced

    RTX Corporation earningsRTX

    General Dynamics buys Pratt & Whitney Canada engines from RTX for Gulfstream's G500 and G600, so RTX's report offers a read on that engine-supply link.

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA earningsCACI

    CACI competes with General Dynamics' GDIT for government cyber, network, software, and mission-support work, and its report will show demand and execution in that shared market.

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Honeywell International, Inc. earningsHON

    Gulfstream buys avionics and engines from Honeywell, including G650 engines, so Honeywell's aerospace results offer a read on a supplier link for General Dynamics.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. earningsHII

    Huntington Ingalls supplies Columbia-class submarine modules to General Dynamics' Electric Boat, and the companies share Virginia-class construction, so its report can show how that part of the submarine work is progressing.

  2. Time to be announced

    Textron, Inc. earningsTXT

    Textron's Cessna jets and aircraft-services business show demand from aircraft buyers and operators, offering a read on the market for General Dynamics' larger Gulfstream jets.

in 11 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    General Dynamics Corporation earningsThis company

    General Dynamics earns from long-term defense contracts and business-jet deliveries, and this report will show whether defense work is becoming revenue without cost increases or delays eroding profit.

in 36 daysTue, Nov 24

  1. Time to be announced

    Elbit Systems Ltd earningsESLT

    Elbit Systems' Land business sells artillery, ammunition, and ground-force systems that compete with General Dynamics' Combat Systems products, so its report will show demand and rivalry in that market.