FTEK in three months: buy, wait or sell?
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Most of Fuel Tech’s revenue comes from FUEL CHEM programs. Power generators and industrial customers pay for specialty chemicals, injection equipment and related services that address deposits and other operating problems in boilers and furnaces. Its TIFI injection technology targets chemical treatment within the furnace; a principal use is helping coal- and oil-fired units run longer between shutdowns for cleaning.
The other business, Air Pollution Control, sells customized systems that reduce nitrogen oxide and particulate emissions from combustion equipment. Customers pay for engineering, equipment and related services, with project payments tied to milestones such as design, shipment and performance testing. Offerings include selective catalytic reduction, which uses a reagent and catalyst to reduce nitrogen oxide emissions, as well as particulate-control equipment and services.
Demand depends on continued use of coal, natural gas and other combustion fuels, and on emissions rules and their enforcement. Revenue is concentrated among a small group of large customers, all of which buy FUEL CHEM programs. That business also relies on Martin Marietta Magnesia Specialties for all of its specified magnesium hydroxide needs for customers taking delivery in the United States and Canada.
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Fuel Tech’s larger FUEL CHEM business depends on coal-fired boilers staying in operation and faces specialty-chemical rivals including Imerys, Environmental Energy Services and SUEZ Water Technologies.
Babcock & Wilcox competes with Fuel Tech for utility and industrial customers’ spending on nitrogen-oxide removal systems—SCR and SNCR—and upgrades to dust-capturing electrostatic precipitators. Its emissions-control equipment and retrofit business is the part to watch for competition facing Fuel Tech, rather than its broader boiler business.
CECO Environmental and Fuel Tech compete to sell combustion facilities systems that remove nitrogen oxides: catalyst-based SCR, equipment that feeds treatment chemicals, and ammonia- or urea-based SNCR. CECO’s emissions-management business serving power generators and industrial customers is the relevant business to watch, rather than its water-treatment offerings.
Fuel Tech depends on Martin Marietta’s Magnesia Specialties subsidiary for all magnesium hydroxide made to its specifications for customers taking delivery in the United States and Canada, an input used in its FUEL CHEM chemical-treatment programs for combustion facilities. Watch magnesium hydroxide availability in Martin Marietta’s Specialties business: supply disruptions could impair those programs.
Ceco Environmental Corp earningsCECO
Ceco Environmental’s report will show whether power and industrial customers are still spending on emissions-control systems—the same NOx-removal projects Fuel Tech competes to win.
Look at orders or revenue in Ceco Environmental’s emissions-management business, not water treatment. Strength there would show power and industrial customers still buying NOx-control equipment, supporting demand for Fuel Tech’s APC projects. Weakness would suggest tighter customer spending or tougher competition for those projects, not prove that Fuel Tech’s own orders have fallen.
Fuel Tech, Inc. earningsThis company
Fuel Tech’s report will show whether FUEL CHEM’s growth can offset weaker APC project revenue and cost swings, or whether both businesses are improving.
Read revenue and gross margin for both segments together: is FUEL CHEM still growing while holding its margin, and have APC project revenue and margin stabilized? FUEL CHEM growth with APC stabilizing would show improvement beyond the segment now driving growth. If FUEL CHEM weakens while APC revenue keeps falling or its margin comes under pressure, growth remains concentrated and project mix or costs can erase it.