Stock daily read

What happened with FIBK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FIBK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Interstate BancSystem serves individuals, businesses, government entities and nonprofits through First Interstate Bank in the western and midwestern United States. Customers use the bank to hold deposits, borrow money and manage financial transactions. It also originates and services mortgages and provides wealth management services.

Borrowers’ interest payments provide most of its income, with investment income and service fees adding smaller streams. Its earnings depend heavily on the difference between the interest it receives and what it pays for deposits and other funding. Keeping customer deposits is therefore central to the business: replacing them with more expensive funding can narrow that difference.

Commercial loans make up most of its lending, with commercial real estate accounting for a large share. Repayment depends on borrowers’ business cash flows and property activity, tying the bank closely to economic conditions in the communities it serves. The parent company relies substantially on dividends from the bank, and federal and state rules limit how much the bank may distribute without regulatory approval.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FIBK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FIBK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Columbia Banking Systems Inc competes with First Interstate for business and household deposits, loans and wealth-management clients in Oregon, Washington, Idaho and Colorado. Watch Columbia’s deposits in those markets: its branches bring in the money that funds its lending.

  • Wells Fargo competes with First Interstate for household and business deposits and loans, including in central Iowa, where Ames National names both as major bank competitors. Wells Fargo’s household and business banking activity there is the part to watch for competition facing First Interstate.

  • First Western Financial, Inc. competes with First Interstate for business owners’ and affluent clients’ deposits, loans and wealth services in Colorado, Wyoming and Montana. Its combination of banking and investment management makes deposits and assets managed for these clients the business to watch.

  • AMES National Corp’s Iowa banks compete directly with First Interstate for loans and deposits in central Iowa. Watch the gap between what Ames earns on loans and investments and what it pays for deposits and other borrowing: that net interest income is its largest source of net income.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. earningsThis company

    First Interstate earns mainly from lending, and this report will show whether loan income can cover deposit costs as lending demand and credit losses shape its profit.

  2. Time to be announced

    Columbia Banking Systems Inc earningsCOLB

    Columbia Banking Systems competes with First Interstate for deposits and borrowers in Oregon, Washington, Idaho and Colorado, and its report will offer a read on that pressure.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Interstate, the Fed’s rate decision signals whether borrowing costs are moving up or down, affecting interest earned as its variable- and adjustable-rate loans reprice and interest paid to depositors, and therefore net interest income.