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What happened with EXPD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EXPD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Expeditors International of Washington helps businesses move goods internationally and clear customs. It does not own aircraft or ships: it buys space from airlines and ocean carriers in bulk, combines customers’ shipments and sells them transportation. Customers pay for the shipment and related services; Expeditors earns the difference between what it charges and what it pays carriers. When customers contract directly with an ocean carrier, it instead earns fees for arranging and handling shipments.

Air and ocean freight together provide most revenue. Customs brokerage and other services form the largest individual revenue category. Expeditors prepares customs filings and arranges duties, inspections and delivery, charging for the scope and complexity of the work. It also earns fees for managing customers’ orders, inventory and distribution.

No single customer supplies a large share of revenue, but Expeditors depends on outside carriers for available space and reliable transport. Shipment demand and the gap between carrier purchase rates and customer charges shape its earnings. Airfreight, ocean-intermediary and customs-brokerage activities require applicable licenses or registrations, and its cross-border work must comply with trade controls and sanctions.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EXPD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

EXPD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Expeditors’ results hinge on international shipment volumes and the gap between what shippers pay it and what it pays carriers, with privately held Flexport another forwarding rival to watch outside this list.

  • C.H. Robinson’s Global Forwarding business competes directly with Expeditors for shippers paying to arrange ocean and air transport and clear customs worldwide. That segment, rather than its North American truck brokerage business, is the part to watch for competition on price and service.

  • Forward Air’s Omni Logistics business competes with Expeditors for customers paying for air and ocean shipping arrangements, contract logistics and tailored supply-chain services. Omni accounted for approximately half of Forward Air’s consolidated revenue in 2025, making it the business to watch rather than the company’s expedited ground freight alone.

  • Radiant Logistics, Inc. and Expeditors both arrange air and ocean shipments, customs clearance and distribution without relying on owned transport fleets, earning a margin between shipper charges and carrier payments. Radiant’s margin on arranging customer shipments is the useful comparison—not revenue alone—because it shows what remains after paying transport providers.

  • RXO, Inc. competes with Expeditors for shippers outsourcing transport management, freight arrangements and customs clearance, although its largest business is placing freight with independent truck carriers. Its managed transportation business, including ocean and air forwarding and customs brokerage, is the closer comparison for Expeditors than truck brokerage overall.

  • UPS competes with Expeditors for customers paying to arrange freight transport and clear customs, not through its much larger small-package delivery business.

  • Matson charges customers to carry containers on its expedited China-to-Long Beach services, exposing it to the China–U.S. volumes, shipping capacity and rates that also drive Expeditors’ ocean forwarding; Matson Logistics also competes for forwarding and supply-chain work. Watch news on those China services for changes in container demand and rates relevant to Expeditors’ ocean business.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. earningsCHRW

    C.H. Robinson's report, especially its Global Forwarding business, will show what shippers are paying and how much freight they are moving through the air and ocean markets where Expeditors also competes.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. earningsThis company

    Expeditors' report will show what remains after carrier costs are deducted from air and ocean customer charges, and whether growth in customs brokerage is reaching profit.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Matsons, Inc. earningsMATX

    Matson's report will show changes in container demand and rates on its China-to-Long Beach services, offering a read on the ocean volumes and carrier costs relevant to Expeditors.

in 29 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track how much consumers spend at stores; stronger demand can bring more freight shipments for Expeditors to forward and clear through customs, while weaker demand can mean less customer business and fewer fees.