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What happened with EVC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EVC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Entravision Communication’s largest business buys digital advertising for mobile app developers worldwide through Smadex and Adwake. Smadex uses its own AI to select and buy ad placements in real time, charging clients for agreed outcomes such as app installs or in-app purchases. Adwake uses third-party advertising technology, pays publishers and other media suppliers, and retains the difference between those costs and client fees. Gaming clients supply most of this business’s revenue, and one Hong Kong-based Smadex customer accounts for a substantial share of both the business’s and the company’s revenue.

Its other business operates U.S. television and radio stations and provides digital marketing for advertisers targeting Latino consumers. Advertisers pay to reach these audiences, sometimes buying digital campaigns alongside television and radio spots. Television distributors also pay to carry its station signals, providing a significant source of television revenue. Entravision is the largest affiliate group of Univision and UniMás: TelevisaUnivision supplies their network programming, sells national advertising and negotiates distribution fees on Entravision’s behalf, while Entravision sells local advertising and receives a share of the distribution fees.

The TelevisaUnivision agreements expire at the end of 2026; renewal negotiations have begun. This relationship ties television advertising to the networks’ audience appeal and carriage revenue to distributors’ subscriber bases. TelevisaUnivision also has consent rights over specified transactions, including mergers and disposal of affiliated station licenses. Broadcasting requires FCC licenses, while privacy laws and platform restrictions limit the data Smadex and Adwake can use to target and measure advertising.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EVC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

EVC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Entravision’s results hinge on mobile-app performance-marketing demand and privately held TelevisaUnivision, whose programming, advertising-sales and retransmission agreements with Entravision expire at the end of 2026.

  • AppLovin competes for the mobile advertising budgets that pay Entravision’s Smadex to deliver app installs and purchases, while also supplying ad space Smadex buys. Watch access to that inventory: AppLovin can favor its own advertising demand or limit Smadex’s access to high-quality users.

  • Liftoff Mobile, Inc. both competes with Entravision’s Smadex for advertisers paying to acquire mobile-app users and supplies the ad space Smadex needs. Its advertising revenue from non-gaming apps offers a read on demand beyond games, including finance and entertainment apps that Smadex also serves.

  • Unity Software’s mobile advertising business competes with Entravision’s Smadex for developers’ spending on acquiring users and generating measurable actions. Watch Unity’s Grow Solutions revenue rather than its content-creation tools for a closer comparison with Smadex’s advertising business.

  • Meta Platforms competes with Entravision’s Smadex and Adwake for advertisers’ performance-marketing budgets, including spending to promote mobile apps. Watch advertising in Meta’s Family of Apps, which sells marketers placements on services such as Facebook and Instagram, rather than its hardware business.

  • Google competes with Entravision’s Smadex for mobile-app promotion budgets and with its broader digital services for advertiser spending. Google Services’ advertising on Search, YouTube and partner properties is the relevant business to watch against Smadex’s app-developer customers and Entravision’s local advertisers targeting Latino consumers.

  • Sinclair and Entravision both earn local television revenue from advertisers and distributors paying to carry their channels, supplemented by digital marketing services. Sinclair’s local media advertising and carriage-fee revenue offer a comparison for the two main sources of Entravision’s television income.

  • Nexstar Media Group, Inc. shares Entravision’s model of selling station advertising and charging distributors to carry channels, and its CW network supplies some Entravision stations with programming. Watch CW’s agreements with internet television distributors: the network’s terms determine Entravision’s revenue from those distributors for its CW stations.

  • Gray Media, Inc. and Entravision depend on local television audiences to attract advertisers and make their channels valuable to paying distributors. Gray’s local station ratings offer a comparison for Entravision’s investment in local news, which supports both advertising and carriage-fee revenue.

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  • E.W. Scripps and Entravision both use community news and local audiences to sell television and digital advertising to businesses. Watch Scripps’ core advertising revenue across broadcast, digital and connected TV for a comparison with Entravision’s effort to retain advertisers as audiences move online.

  • Fox supplies programming to Entravision’s FOX-affiliated stations while its own television properties compete for viewers and advertisers. Fox’s agreements with internet television distributors determine Entravision’s FOX-station revenue from those distributors, making those terms worth watching.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Entravision’s floating-rate debt moves with the Fed’s policy rate, affecting what the company pays to service its borrowing.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Entravision Communication earningsThis company

    Entravision's report will show whether growth in its advertising technology and services business is translating into more segment profit as Smadex faces pressure on margins.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Applovin Corporation earningsAPP

    AppLovin's report offers a read on demand for app ads competing with Smadex and on the ad inventory Smadex may buy from AppLovin.

  2. Time to be announced

    Sinclair, Inc. earningsSBGI

    Sinclair's report shows how local television advertising and carriage fees—the two revenue sources it shares with Entravision—are holding up.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Nexstar Media Group, Inc. earningsNXST

    Nexstar's report may shed light on CW carriage terms, which affect what distributors pay Entravision for its CW-affiliated stations.

in 23 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Liftoff Mobile, Inc. earningsLFTO

    Liftoff's report shows whether app advertisers beyond gaming are spending, a useful read on Entravision's ability to broaden its customer base beyond games.