Stock daily read

What happened with ESP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ESP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp makes equipment that converts and distributes electrical power for military systems and industrial equipment operating in harsh conditions. Defense contractors, U.S. and foreign governments, and industrial manufacturers pay it to develop and produce equipment to their specifications or manufacture from their drawings. Products include power supplies and transformers used in shipboard, radar and locomotive systems. Espey handles much of the manufacturing and testing in-house.

Manufacturing accounts for most sales; customer-specific design, development and testing provide a smaller share. Most sales come from military contracts with an agreed price for specified work, so profit depends on keeping actual costs within the contract price.

A small group of customers supplies most revenue. Demand depends heavily on government funding for defense programs, and some contracted work is not yet funded. Customers can cancel orders. Turning engineering orders into sales also requires completing designs and obtaining customer milestone approvals. Espey must comply with government contracting standards; noncompliance can lead to suspension from new contract awards.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ESP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ESP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Vicor Corp competes with Espey for defense-electronics, industrial-equipment and rail customers buying power-conversion products, with its custom power systems overlapping Espey’s engineered power supplies. Watch Vicor’s Brick Products sales to these customers for clues to demand in Espey’s markets, rather than its data-center-focused Advanced Products.

  • American Superconductor competes with Espey in power transformers and power supplies, explicitly naming Espey as a rival in those lines. Its transformer offerings for utility and industrial customers are worth watching for competition with Espey’s power equipment for military and industrial use.

  • M-tron Industries, Inc. and Espey both depend on defense-program production for their military electronics business. M-tron sells reliable components that control signal frequency and microwave components to defense-electronics customers, while Espey supplies military systems with power-conversion and magnetic components.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Vicor Corp earningsVICR

    Vicor’s report will show how defense, industrial-equipment and rail customers are buying its Brick Products, a clue to demand in markets Espey also serves.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    M-tron Industries, Inc. earningsMPTI

    M-tron Industries, Inc.’s report will show how defense-electronics customers are buying its frequency-control and microwave components, offering a clue to demand for Espey’s military systems.

in 27 daysMon, Nov 16

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp earningsThis company

    Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp earns mainly from fixed-price military contracts and custom power equipment, and this report will show whether it is turning its backlog into shipments and profit.