ENB in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with ENB today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Enbridge connects oil and natural gas supplies with customers across Canada and the United States. Oil shippers pay to move crude through its pipelines, including the Mainline System, whose Canadian pipelines connect with the US Lakehead System. Customers also pay for storage and terminal services. Some pipeline contracts require payment for reserved capacity even when it is unused; other transportation revenue depends on barrels moved. Regulators approve or govern tolls, limiting what Enbridge can charge.
Natural gas customers generally reserve pipeline and storage capacity and pay fixed monthly fees regardless of use. Enbridge also operates gas utilities that deliver to homes and businesses at regulator-approved rates. Customers may buy gas from Enbridge or, in some areas, another supplier while paying Enbridge for delivery. Gas purchase costs pass through to customers, so higher gas prices do not themselves increase utility earnings. Pipeline and utility operations require continued regulatory and environmental approvals.
Commodity marketing produces the largest share of revenue: Enbridge buys and sells oil, gas and power to earn margins from price differences across locations, grades and time periods. Those margins are typically only a small part of the sales proceeds, so the large revenue stream should not be confused with equally large earnings. Its renewable power investments in North America and Europe sell most of their electricity under long-term purchase agreements, with output dependent on wind, sunlight and operating availability.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
TC Energy competes with Enbridge to move and store gas for utilities and LNG markets through regulated networks linking Canadian and US supply regions. Its LNG-related pipeline expansions show where the two are competing for growing gas transportation demand.
South Bow competes with Enbridge's Mainline and connected pipelines for customers shipping western Canadian crude to US Midwest and Gulf Coast refineries. Watch Keystone's long-term capacity contracts rather than revenue alone: customers generally pay fixed monthly amounts for reserved space regardless of actual shipments.
PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION and Enbridge compete for western Canadian producers needing oil and gas transportation, storage and processing services. Pembina's oil sands and heavy-oil pipeline business offers a comparison for demand from the producers that also anchor Enbridge's regional oil sands network.
Kinder Morgan competes with Enbridge to transport and store gas for customers in the US Northeast, Southeast and Gulf Coast, drawing on major US supply basins. Its Natural Gas Pipelines results provide a comparison for demand in the gas markets Enbridge also serves.
Energy Transfer competes with Enbridge for crude and gas transportation customers, but the two also jointly own the crude pipeline that Enbridge's planned Southern Illinois Connector will feed. Watch progress toward the connector's expected 2028 start: long-term agreements require investment-grade customers to pay for the incremental capacity whether they use it or not.
Plains All American competes with Enbridge for customers paying to transport and store crude, while operating their jointly owned Cactus II pipeline from Texas production areas to Corpus Christi. Cactus II's operating news matters directly to Enbridge's 30% non-operating interest.
Williams competes for gas transportation customers in markets also served by Enbridge's eastern US and Pacific Northwest networks. Watch Transco and Northwest Pipeline rather than Williams' gas-processing business: those pipelines carry gas along the overlapping routes.
Enterprise Products Partners competes with Enbridge to move, store and export crude and gas for North American producers. Its Crude Oil Pipelines & Services results offer a comparison for the production and Gulf Coast export demand that also supports Enbridge's liquids network.
ONEOK competes with Enbridge for crude and gas pipeline customers, but both also invest in Matterhorn Express and Eiger Express. News on those gas pipelines linking the Permian Basin with the Katy, Texas, area matters to Enbridge through its 10% stake in their parent venture.
MPLX competes with Enbridge in moving and storing crude and gas, while sharing an investment in the Matterhorn Express gas pipeline venture. Separate MPLX's refinery logistics for MPC from news on Matterhorn, which carries Permian gas to the Katy, Texas, area and directly connects the two investments.
Plains GP Holdings gives indirect exposure to Enbridge's crude-pipeline rival and Cactus II partner, Plains All American: its cash comes through AAP from Plains All American's distributions, not its own operating assets. Watch Plains All American's pipeline and terminal activity, especially the jointly owned Cactus II, rather than looking for a separate operating business here.
Canadian Natural pays for reserved capacity on Enbridge's Flanagan South and uses Enbridge Westcoast to move gas to buyers. Its 77,500 barrels a day of contracted Flanagan South capacity makes changes in its crude transportation commitments a concrete customer signal for Enbridge.
Suncor depends on Enbridge's Athabasca Terminal to gather much of its oil sands output before pipeline routes take it toward refining markets. Watch production and maintenance news at its non-Syncrude oil sands operations; Syncrude output instead moves through Pembina's Alberta Oil Sands Pipeline.
Phillips 66 competes with Enbridge in oil and gas handling services, but also shares economic interests in DCP Midstream and Gray Oak Pipeline. Watch its DCP gas-processing news for the shared business; Enbridge operates Gray Oak, which transports Texas crude to Gulf Coast markets.
DT Midstream competes with Enbridge to transport and store gas for utilities, power plants, industrial customers and LNG-related markets. Its Pipeline revenue, including services delivering gas to LNG export terminals, offers a comparison for the demand Enbridge targets with gas transmission and storage expansion.
Cheniere Energy's Corpus Christi LNG facility receives gas through ADCC Pipeline, giving Enbridge an indirect stake in supplying a company that sells LNG to energy companies, utilities and traders worldwide. Watch Corpus Christi's operating and expansion news for demand on that supply route, rather than Cheniere's total LNG capacity.
Kinder Morgan, Inc. earningsKMI
Kinder Morgan's Natural Gas Pipelines results offer a read on gas-market demand in regions Enbridge also serves, a useful comparison for Enbridge's gas transmission and storage business.
Look at Kinder Morgan's Natural Gas Pipelines results and its explanation of demand, not as a stand-in for Enbridge's own figures. Strong results would point to firmer demand in some US gas markets both companies serve; weaker results would mean a less supportive demand backdrop for Enbridge's transmission and storage business in those markets.
Oneok, Inc. earningsOKE
If ONEOK reports on Matterhorn Express operations, its results will show how the pipeline linking the Permian Basin with Katy, Texas, is faring for an investment Enbridge partly owns.
Focus on ONEOK's specific updates about Matterhorn Express, not its company-wide results as a proxy for Enbridge. Smooth operations would show the shared investment is serving its purpose; operating problems would weaken the support this indirect investment provides to Enbridge.
PHILLIPS 66 earningsPSX
An update from Phillips 66 on DCP Midstream's gas-processing business will show how that shared business is faring for Enbridge and Phillips 66.
Read Phillips 66's comments on DCP's gas processing separately from its refining business and Gray Oak Pipeline. Steady processing activity and results would support the shared business; weaker results would mean less support for Enbridge's economic interest in it, but would not establish how Enbridge's own pipelines performed.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
The Fed’s decision tracks the cost of borrowing across the economy; higher rates can make refinancing Enbridge’s substantial debt more expensive and reduce earnings.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
Higher borrowing costs can raise interest expense as Enbridge refinances debt or borrows anew, leaving less earnings after debt service.
If it comes in below expectations
Lower borrowing costs can ease interest expense as Enbridge refinances debt or borrows anew, leaving more earnings after debt service.
Cheniere Energy Inc earningsLNG
Cheniere Energy's update on Corpus Christi operations or expansion will show how demand is developing on the ADCC Pipeline route, which has an indirect connection to Enbridge.
Focus on Corpus Christi's operating and expansion updates, not Cheniere's total LNG capacity. Smooth operations and expansion progress would support demand on this supply route; disruptions or delays would weaken that signal, but would not prove that Enbridge's own transported volumes changed in step.
Williams Companies Inc. earningsWMB
Results for Williams' Transco and Northwest Pipeline, which overlap with parts of Enbridge's eastern US and Pacific Northwest networks, will show how the two companies compete for gas-transportation customers.
Look for Williams' results and customer-demand commentary on Transco and Northwest Pipeline, not its gas-processing business. Stronger activity on the overlapping routes would show demand there is firm and competition for Enbridge is active; weaker activity would soften that competitive signal, but would not prove Enbridge won those customers.
Suncor Energy, Inc. earningsSU
Suncor's non-Syncrude oil-sands production and maintenance updates will show how much crude may flow through Enbridge's Athabasca Terminal.
Read production and maintenance updates for Suncor's non-Syncrude oil-sands operations; Syncrude output takes a different pipeline route. Higher output and fewer disruptions would mean more potential customer crude for Enbridge's Athabasca Terminal; lower output or more maintenance would weaken that supply signal, but would not establish an equal change in Enbridge's transportation revenue.
South Bow Corporation earningsSOBO
South Bow's Keystone pipeline competes with Enbridge's Mainline for western Canadian crude, and its long-term capacity contracts show whether shippers continue to reserve space on that rival route.
Watch Keystone's long-term capacity contracts and renewals; customers generally pay fixed monthly amounts for reserved space whether or not they ship. Firm commitments show shippers continue to lock in this competing route; weaker commitments would lessen that evidence of secured competition, but revenue alone cannot show actual volumes.
Canadian Natural Resources Limited earningsCNQ
Canadian Natural Resources has reserved 77,500 barrels a day on Enbridge's Flanagan South, and its report can show whether this customer maintains that commitment.
Read Canadian Natural's update on its 77,500-barrel-a-day Flanagan South reservation alongside its crude-transportation commitments. A maintained reservation would show this customer still secures substantial space on Enbridge's pipeline; a reduction would weaken that signal, but would not prove an immediate matching change in throughput or fees.
PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION earningsPBA
PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION's oil-sands and heavy-oil pipeline business offers a read on producers' demand for transportation services that also support Enbridge's regional oil-sands network.
Read activity and commentary for PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION's oil-sands and heavy-oil pipeline business, not its overall results as a proxy for Enbridge. Strong results would support the view that producers still need these services, a helpful signal for the market served by Enbridge's regional oil-sands network; weaker results would point to a softer backdrop, not prove a change in Enbridge's volumes.
Enbridge, Inc earningsThis company
Enbridge earns from pipeline transportation and gas utilities through tolls, reserved-capacity fees and regulated rates, and this report will show whether those businesses continue to produce steady operating cash flow.
Read segment EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) alongside cash from operations. Steady contributions from Liquids Pipelines and the gas businesses, with cash flow holding up, would show tolls and utility revenue supporting operations and investment. If those contributions weaken and operating cash flow falls, throughput or utility revenue recovery is under pressure, leaving less cash for investment, debt service and dividends.
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. earningsPAA
If Plains All American updates Cactus II operations, its report will show how the jointly owned pipeline is supporting Enbridge's 30% non-operating interest.
Focus on Cactus II operations, not Plains All American's other pipelines and terminals. Smooth operations would show the shared asset is working and supporting Enbridge's 30% interest; operating problems or weaker activity would weaken that support.