Stock daily read

What happened with COFS today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

COFS in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

ChoiceOne Financial serves businesses and households in western, central and southeastern Michigan through ChoiceOne Bank. The bank takes customer deposits and makes loans, most backed by property or other collateral. Borrowers’ interest and loan fees provide most revenue; interest on securities contributes a smaller share.

The business depends on the difference between interest earned on loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and other borrowing, as well as retaining deposit customers. Real-estate loans make up most of its lending, tying performance closely to Michigan borrowers’ ability to repay and local property conditions. It is not materially dependent on any single customer.

Banking rules require the company to maintain specified capital levels, which can constrain growth. ChoiceOne Financial is legally separate from the bank and relies on bank dividends for substantially all of its own revenue. Regulations limit those payments, so bank earnings do not automatically become cash available to the parent company.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in COFS’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

COFS says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Independent Bank Corp. competes directly with CHOICEONE FINANCIAL for Michigan households and businesses, with both banks taking deposits to fund customer loans.

  • Horizon Bancorp, Inc. and CHOICEONE FINANCIAL compete for borrowers in central Michigan, so local economic conditions affect both banks' lending businesses. Watch Horizon's lending in that shared market, rather than treating its Indiana business as a direct guide to ChoiceOne.

  • Civista Bancshares, Inc. offers a close comparison for CHOICEONE FINANCIAL's property lending: both Midwestern banks take customer deposits and lend heavily against commercial property and homes. Watch Civista's property-loan credit quality and the gap between loan earnings and deposit costs for a read on pressures ChoiceOne also faces.

  • Citizens Financial Group, Inc. competes with CHOICEONE FINANCIAL in Michigan for household deposits and for businesses and consumers seeking loans, putting the two banks in contention for the same banking customers.

  • Old Second Bancorp Inc's Chicago-area banking offers a nearby regional comparison for CHOICEONE FINANCIAL in Michigan: both take household and business deposits and make business, consumer and property loans. Watch Old Second's business and property lending and its deposit funding costs for signs of regional pressures relevant to ChoiceOne.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Civista Bancshares, Inc. earningsCIVB

    Civista Bancshares’ report shows whether commercial-property and home borrowers are repaying and loan earnings are covering deposit costs, pressures that also matter to ChoiceOne Financial.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    CHOICEONE FINANCIAL earningsThis company

    ChoiceOne Financial earns mainly from loan interest and fees, and this report will show whether loan income can hold up as purchased-loan accretion fades.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For ChoiceOne, the Fed’s decision on short-term interest rates can change what the bank earns on loans and securities versus what it pays on deposits and borrowings, shifting net interest income and its margin.