Stock daily read

What happened with CELH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CELH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Celsius Holdings sells CELSIUS, Alani Nu and Rockstar energy drinks to consumers seeking energy and an active lifestyle. It also offers wellness products, but functional beverages generate most of its revenue, and the U.S. and Canada account for the great majority of sales. It outsources most production to contract manufacturers and reaches consumers through stores and online retailers.

Distributors, wholesalers and retailers pay Celsius for finished products. Pepsi is its primary distributor in the U.S. and Canada and a customer that supplies a large share of revenue. Their U.S. agreement gives Celsius a greater say in shelf placement and promotional priorities within Pepsi’s network, but sales depend heavily on Pepsi’s execution and continued relationship with the company.

The business also depends on contract manufacturers keeping products available and on consumers continuing to choose its brands. Advertising and labels must comply with rules governing the accuracy and support for product claims; these rules constrain how Celsius can market its beverages.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CELH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CELH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Celsius depends on energy-drink demand and PepsiCo’s distribution, but investors should also watch privately held rival Red Bull, which is absent from this list.

  • Monster Beverage competes with Celsius for energy-drink buyers and retail shelf space, selling Monster, Reign and Bang primarily to bottlers and beverage distributors. Sales of those brands are the part of Monster’s business to watch for competitive pressure on CELSIUS, Alani Nu and Rockstar.

  • Celsius relies on PepsiCo to buy and distribute its energy drinks: sales to Pepsi accounted for 43.2% of Celsius’s revenue in 2025, although PepsiCo’s own beverages also compete for consumers’ spending. Watch how PepsiCo prioritizes Celsius’s portfolio in its U.S. distribution network, particularly shelf placement and promotions.

  • Keurig Dr Pepper competes with Celsius through GHOST, C4 Energy and Bloom beverages that it sells or distributes to bottlers, distributors and retailers. Those brands’ performance is more relevant to Celsius’s energy-drink portfolio than Keurig Dr Pepper’s broader beverage sales.

  • Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies Celsius with beverage cans, making its can business relevant to a principal input in Celsius’s energy drinks. Watch news on can costs and availability, while remembering that Celsius sources packaging from multiple suppliers and says it has no single-supplier dependence for its overall needs.

  • Coca-Cola competes with Celsius by selling beverages to retailers and distributors, and also earns fees from Monster, Celsius’s direct energy-drink rival, for coordinating distribution. Those Monster-related fees, reported within Coca-Cola’s geographic segments, are a specific line of revenue to watch for its connection to Celsius’s competition.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. earningsAMBP

    Ardagh Metal Packaging’s report will show how can costs and availability are changing, a signal for what Celsius and its co-packers may pay and whether they can secure packaging.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Celsius, the Fed’s rate decision signals whether borrowing costs across the economy may rise or fall, affecting interest paid on its variable-rate debt and the cash left for its beverage business.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Celsius Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    Celsius’s report will show whether sales of CELSIUS, Alani Nu and Rockstar are growing without promotional allowances taking an equally large bite out of revenue and gross profit.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track consumer spending in stores; for Celsius, stronger or weaker spending can flow through grocery, convenience and club retailers to orders for its CELSIUS, Alani Nu and Rockstar beverages and the revenue it earns from customers.