Stock daily read

What happened with BYSI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BYSI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

BeyondSpring’s business centers on Plinabulin, a drug candidate being studied to treat cancers, including non-small-cell lung cancer, and prevent chemotherapy-induced reductions in infection-fighting white blood cells. It has no product approved for sale and has earned no product-sales revenue. It funds development through financing, collaboration arrangements and sales of subsidiary interests rather than drug sales.

Its partially owned Chinese subsidiary, Wanchunbulin, granted Hengrui exclusive rights to co-develop and commercialize Plinabulin in Greater China. Hengrui has paid an upfront fee, and Wanchunbulin is eligible for further payments tied to regulatory and sales milestones. If the drug is approved and sold, Wanchunbulin receives the net sales proceeds and pays Hengrui an agreed share; Hengrui bears commercialization costs. BeyondSpring plans to seek a partner for the United States and other markets because it has no internal sales or distribution capabilities.

The business depends on obtaining approval for Plinabulin and funding its development. The FDA declined its application for preventing chemotherapy-induced neutropenia, saying the evidence was insufficient and another well-controlled trial was required. SEED’s separate drug-discovery business is no longer part of BeyondSpring’s continuing operations.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BYSI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BYSI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

BeyondSpring hinges on Plinabulin’s clinical and regulatory success, with Hengrui handling Greater China commercialization and BASF supplying the current formulation’s irreplaceable stabilizer.

  • Lilly sells Cyramza, which competes when combined with docetaxel in the second- and third-line EGFR-wild-type non-small-cell lung cancer setting BeyondSpring targets with Plinabulin. Lilly also licensed research from SEED, but those operations are now excluded from BeyondSpring’s continuing operations, making that link less direct than the lung-cancer rivalry.

  • Merck sells Keytruda in the second- and third-line EGFR-wild-type non-small-cell lung cancer setting BeyondSpring targets with Plinabulin, putting the two medicines in competition for that patient group. For BeyondSpring holders, Keytruda’s clinical news is more relevant than Merck’s broader sales of medicines, vaccines and animal-health products.

  • Bristol Myers Squibb sells Opdivo in the second- and third-line EGFR-wild-type non-small-cell lung cancer setting BeyondSpring targets with Plinabulin. That makes Opdivo’s role in treating this patient group the part of Bristol Myers Squibb’s medicines business most directly relevant to Plinabulin’s competitive position.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Eli Lilly & Co. earningsLLY

    Lilly’s report can show how Cyramza with docetaxel is faring in the same lung-cancer patient group, revealing the competitive setting for BeyondSpring’s Plinabulin.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    BeyondSpring Inc. earningsThis company

    BeyondSpring’s report will show whether the continuing costs of developing Plinabulin are drawing down its limited cash and bringing new financing closer.