Stock daily read

What happened with BOX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BOX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Organizations use Box to keep files in one place, control who can access them, and move content through sharing, editing, approvals, signing and retention. Its Intelligent Content Management platform connects with other business applications, while Box Platform lets customers build content-management capabilities into their own applications.

Customers pay for access based on the number of users, the functions they deploy and allowances for application and AI usage. They can buy for a small team or deploy Box across an organization, then add users and products. Subscriptions and premier services packages account for nearly all revenue; implementation and consulting contribute little.

The business depends heavily on customers renewing subscriptions and expanding their use. Box also relies on Google Cloud Platform for most of its cloud hosting. Privacy and data-localization rules can require local storage or processing and restrict where and how Box provides its services.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BOX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BOX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Dropbox competes with Box for teams and organizations paying to share files and collaborate in the cloud, though Box names it as a lesser rival in enterprise file sharing. Dropbox’s paying Business teams are the customer group to watch for this overlap.

  • Microsoft competes for the enterprise customers that pay Box to manage and share content: SharePoint rivals its content management platform, while OneDrive rivals its file-sharing service. News about these two products is more directly relevant to Box than Microsoft’s broader results.

  • Open Text Corp’s Documentum competes directly for enterprises paying Box to manage and govern their content. Its content products are the relevant area to watch, rather than the full data-management business, which also spans cybersecurity and IT operations.

  • DocuSign competes with Box for customers paying to digitize document signing, agreement storage and approval workflows. Watch its agreement-management products, which extend beyond signing into storing agreements and automating their workflows—the areas where the two offerings overlap.

  • Alphabet’s Google Drive competes for enterprises using Box to synchronize, share and collaborate on files. Google Drive product news is the relevant signal for this rivalry, rather than the advertising revenue that primarily funds Google Services.

Agenda

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Microsoft Corp earningsMSFT

    Microsoft’s report will show whether SharePoint and OneDrive are gaining use in the enterprise content management and file-sharing needs they share with Box.

in 41 daysTue, Dec 1

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    BOX, INC. earningsThis company

    Box earns nearly all its revenue from subscriptions, and this report will show whether organizations keep adding seats and bundled products and renewing their service.