Stock daily read

What happened with AVLN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AVLN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Avalyn Pharma Inc. is developing medicines that patients inhale to treat pulmonary fibrosis, a disease involving scarring of the lungs. Its business depends mainly on AP01, inhaled pirfenidone for progressive pulmonary fibrosis, and AP02, inhaled nintedanib for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Both are in clinical trials; neither is approved for sale.

Avalyn has generated no revenue and funds development with capital raised from investors and borrowing. It needs further funding to advance its candidates. Future drug sales require successful clinical development and regulatory approval, followed by doctors prescribing the medicines and insurers covering them, or patients paying out of pocket.

The treatments use PARI’s eRapid Nebulizer System with eFlow Technology to deliver medicine to the lungs. Avalyn licenses the system exclusively for AP01 and holds an exclusive right to negotiate separate licenses for AP02 and AP03. It depends on PARI for device supply and plans to seek approval for the drug and device together.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AVLN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AVLN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Avalyn Pharma Inc.’s prospects depend on AP01 and AP02 succeeding clinically while facing Boehringer Ingelheim’s established fibrosis medicines and relying on access to PARI’s licensed nebulizer technology.

  • United Therapeutics is seeking to expand inhaled Tyvaso into idiopathic and progressive pulmonary fibrosis, putting it in competition with Avalyn’s inhaled treatments for those patients. Its reported positive Phase 3 TETON-1 and TETON-2 results and planned IPF approval filing are the developments to watch.

  • MannKind and Avalyn are developing competing inhaled treatments for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, both aiming to deliver medicine directly to the lungs. MannKind also earns manufacturing revenue and sales royalties from United Therapeutics’ Tyvaso DPI, so its IPF development news is more directly relevant to Avalyn than that existing revenue stream.

  • Insmed plans to study inhaled TPIP in idiopathic and progressive pulmonary fibrosis, bringing another potential treatment into the patient groups targeted by Avalyn’s AP01 and AP02. Watch the launch and progress of those TPIP studies, rather than sales of Insmed’s existing respiratory medicines.

  • Rein Therapeutics, Inc. competes with Avalyn to develop new treatments for pulmonary-fibrosis patients. It had no product-sales revenue through the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, and says advancing LTI-03 depends on obtaining funding, making that funding important to watch.

  • AgomAb Therapeutics NV’s AGMB-447 targets the same idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis treatment market as Avalyn’s inhaled candidates. With no approved products or revenue through December 31, 2025, AgomAb’s AGMB-447 development progress—not current medicine sales—is the relevant signal for Avalyn.

  • Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. is developing pulmonary-fibrosis treatments that would compete with Avalyn’s candidates for the same patients. Its fibrosis-program news is the relevant comparison; the payment it received from J&J for rights to develop and sell PIPE-307 is a separate part of its business.

  • Bristol Myers Squibb’s Phase 3 admilparant program competes with Avalyn’s AP01 and AP02 in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis drug development. Admilparant’s trial results are the concrete development to watch against Avalyn’s still-clinical inhaled treatments.

  • GRI Bio, Inc.’s oral GRI-0621 offers a competing investigational approach to Avalyn’s inhaled treatments for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Watch its Phase 2 results for evidence on that oral alternative; GRI Bio does not expect product revenue before successful development, approval and commercialization.

Show 1 moreShow less
  • Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc’s Phase 2 Vasculan program targets the same idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients as Avalyn’s AP02. Although Cumberland already sells branded prescription medicines, Vasculan’s trial progress is the part of its business that matters directly to this competition.

Agenda

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    United Therapeutics Corp earningsUTHR

    United Therapeutics' report will show whether inhaled Tyvaso is moving toward an IPF filing, bringing its treatment closer to some of the same patients targeted by Avalyn Pharma's inhaled candidates.

in 23 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Avalyn Pharma Inc. earningsThis company

    Avalyn Pharma has no product sales, so this report will show whether it can advance AP01 and AP02 trials without using cash faster than its funding plan can support.