Stock daily read

What happened with AVD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AVD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

American Vanguard serves growers who need to control pests, weeds and plant diseases, as well as customers protecting turf, ornamental plants and human and animal health. Its principal operating subsidiary, AMVAC, mainly makes its own proprietary products, including pesticides and biological products for soil health and plant nutrition. It also manufactures or formulates products for other companies.

In the United States, national distributors and buying groups or cooperatives buy AMVAC products and resell them to retailers, growers and other users. U.S. sales provide most revenue, while international sales contribute a substantial share through overseas sales offices, company-owned distributors and agents. A few large customers account for a substantial portion of sales, making their purchasing decisions important to the business.

Demand depends partly on weather, pest pressure and crop prices. Production also relies on a limited number of suppliers for some important ingredients. U.S. pesticide sales require federal and state registrations, which determine permitted uses; several of the company’s organophosphate pesticides are under EPA review that could restrict or cancel their uses.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AVD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AVD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. competes with American Vanguard for agricultural spending on crop protection and nutrition products. Its Crop Protection and Crop Nutrition revenues are the lines to watch for demand in these overlapping markets.

  • Nutrien's agricultural retail business shares American Vanguard's dependence on growers buying crop inputs and agricultural channels replenishing inventory; American Vanguard sells crop-protection products mainly through distributors in the United States. Watch Nutrien's Retail results for signs of grower spending and channel inventory demand, rather than its fertilizer-production volumes.

  • The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company competes with American Vanguard's consumer, turf and ornamental protection products by selling lawn-and-garden pest-control products to consumers. News about its consumer pest-control products is more relevant to American Vanguard's non-crop business than its indoor and hydroponic gardening business.

Agenda

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Nutrien Ltd. earningsNTR

    Nutrien’s Retail results will show whether growers are still buying crop inputs and channels are replenishing, a demand signal for American Vanguard’s crop-protection sales through distributors.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    American Vanguard Corporation earningsThis company

    American Vanguard’s report will show whether better cost control is turning sales into cash to fund operations and debt service.