Stock daily read

What happened with APRE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

APRE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Aprea Therapeutics seeks to treat cancer by blocking pathways that cancer cells with specific mutations rely on to survive—an approach called synthetic lethality. Most of its development effort and funding go to APR-1051 and ATRN-119, which target proteins involved in the response to DNA damage. Both remain in early clinical development. Aprea has paused enrollment in ATRN-119’s single-drug trial arms and is exploring combinations with other treatments.

Government and non-government organizations provide grants to support its research; the National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health is a named funder. These grants supply most of its revenue, but stock offerings have been its main source of operating funds. Aprea has no drug-sale revenue and needs additional financing to continue development. It retains worldwide commercial rights to its candidates; future drug sales depend on successful trials and regulatory approval, followed by physician adoption and payer coverage.

Aprea relies on outside organizations to run trials and manufacture drug supplies. A single contract manufacturer currently makes the active ingredients and finished drug products, with no backup supply arrangements in place.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in APRE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

APRE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Aprea’s prospects hinge on clinical success for its WEE1 and ATR inhibitors against rivals including Debiopharm and Artios Pharma, neither shown in this list.

  • Zentalis Pharmaceuticals’ azenosertib directly challenges Aprea’s APR-1051: both are investigational cancer drugs targeting WEE1. Watch azenosertib’s clinical efficacy and safety as a competitive benchmark for APR-1051.

  • Acrivon Therapeutics’ ACR-2316 competes with Aprea’s APR-1051 as an investigational cancer treatment targeting WEE1. ACR-2316’s clinical progress is the part of Acrivon’s precision-medicine pipeline to watch for this rivalry.

  • Schrodinger, Inc.’s SGR-3515 targets WEE1/Myt1 in advanced solid tumors and competes with Aprea’s APR-1051. Watch that drug’s progress rather than software sales to drugmakers, industrial companies and research institutions, which give Schrodinger a substantial business distinct from Aprea’s cancer-drug development.

  • AstraZeneca’s investigational cancer drugs targeting ATR compete through the same mechanism as Aprea’s ATRN-119, but its diversified commercial drug portfolio makes its share price a less direct comparison. For Aprea, watch AstraZeneca’s ATR-drug clinical progress rather than sales of its established cancer medicines.

  • Bristol Myers Squibb’s BMS-986463 competes with Aprea’s APR-1051 by targeting the same cancer vulnerability differently: it degrades WEE1 rather than inhibiting it. Within Bristol Myers Squibb’s broader medicine-development and sales business, watch BMS-986463’s progress as an alternative approach to Aprea’s target.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. earningsBMY

    Bristol Myers Squibb’s report will show whether BMS-986463, which degrades WEE1, is advancing as an alternative to Aprea Therapeutics’ WEE1 inhibitor APR-1051.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    AstraZeneca PLC earningsAZN

    AstraZeneca’s report on its investigational ATR drugs will show whether another company is advancing against the target shared with Aprea Therapeutics’ ATRN-119.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Schrodinger, Inc. earningsSDGR

    Schrodinger’s report on SGR-3515 will show whether its WEE1 program is advancing against Aprea Therapeutics’ competing APR-1051.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    Zentalis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. earningsZNTL

    Zentalis’s report on azenosertib will show how its WEE1 clinical program is progressing against Aprea Therapeutics’ APR-1051.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Aprea Therapeutics, Inc. earningsThis company

    Aprea Therapeutics has no drug-sales revenue and relies on financing and small research grants to fund development; this report will show whether clinical progress is keeping pace with cash use.