Stock daily read

What happened with ZETA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ZETA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Zeta Global Holdings Corp. helps businesses identify consumers they want to reach and run marketing campaigns aimed at them. Its Zeta Marketing Platform (ZMP) combines consumer information with customers’ own data to predict interests and personalize marketing. Customers can organize that data through Zeta CDP+, automate messages and campaigns with Zeta Messaging, and place paid advertising through Zeta’s DSP. Its Zeta SuperGraph connects identities and relationships across different data sources.

Businesses and marketing agencies pay for platform subscriptions, usage and related professional services. Usage-based fees supply a substantial part of revenue, so customer activity matters alongside renewals. Most revenue comes from high-spending customers, and a small group contributes a large share, including one customer with a significant contribution. Many contracts do not require minimum usage, leaving revenue dependent on customers continuing to direct marketing spending through Zeta.

The platform also depends on access to consumer data from Zeta’s own sources, partners and third-party suppliers. Browser and mobile-system tracking restrictions can limit that access. Privacy laws require Zeta to honor applicable deletion and opt-out requests, while consent requirements restrict certain marketing calls and texts.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ZETA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ZETA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Braze, Inc. competes with Zeta for brands’ spending on software that uses customer data to personalize messages, and both earn more as messaging usage expands. Watch Braze customers’ spending on reaching more consumers and sending more messages for a read on demand for services like Zeta Messaging.

  • Salesforce competes for the enterprise marketing budgets that fund Zeta’s messaging, campaign automation and customer-data management products, offering Marketing Cloud and customer-data products of its own.

  • HubSpot competes with Zeta for businesses’ spending on attracting and engaging customers: its marketing and engagement Hubs overlap with Zeta’s campaign-automation offering. Adoption of HubSpot’s paid Hubs is worth watching for competition over that spending.

  • Alphabet’s Google competes with Zeta for advertisers’ campaign budgets, selling audience-targeted ads while Zeta helps advertisers place paid media through its DSP. Watch Google Services’ performance and brand advertising revenue, rather than Alphabet’s cloud business, for the relevant competition.

  • Amplitude, Inc. and Zeta both depend on businesses investing in better customer conversion and retention: Amplitude sells subscriptions to analyze behavior in digital products, while Zeta sells software that uses consumer signals to personalize marketing. Customers expanding their use of Amplitude offers a read on willingness to spend on those goals.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Alphabet Inc. earningsGOOG

    Google’s ad business and Zeta’s DSP both compete for advertisers’ paid-media budgets, so Alphabet’s report will show how strong that pool of spending—and the competition for it—is.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s policy rate—the benchmark that influences borrowing costs—matters to Zeta Global because rates affect what it pays on variable-rate debt and on new borrowing.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Zeta Global Holdings Corp. earningsThis company

    Zeta Global earns subscription and usage fees from its platform, so this report will show whether existing customers expanding their use is still driving revenue growth.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    HUBSPOT, INC. earningsHUBS

    HubSpot and Zeta both sell businesses software to attract and engage customers, so adoption of HubSpot’s paid products will show whether businesses are still spending on these tools.

in 50 daysTue, Dec 8

  1. Time to be announced

    Braze, Inc. earningsBRZE

    Braze and Zeta both earn revenue from brands using personalized messaging software, so Braze customers’ spending on reaching consumers and sending messages will show demand for these services.