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What happened with XPL today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

XPL in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Solitario Resources Corp. looks for mineral deposits that could become commercially viable mines. It acquires exploration properties and investigates them itself or with partners. Buyers of property interests and joint-venture partners have provided payments, but these transactions are infrequent, not a steady annual revenue stream. The company has never developed a property, and neither it nor its partners currently conduct mine development or mining operations at its properties. Share sales, investment sales and investment income have helped fund exploration and overhead.

Its core assets include the Florida Canyon zinc project in Peru, the Lik zinc project in Alaska and Golden Crest in South Dakota. Nexa funds Solitario’s share of Florida Canyon costs through to production; Teck is its partner at Lik. Solitario explores Golden Crest on its own. Progress at Florida Canyon and Lik depends substantially on the partners that control most exploration decisions, including budgets and the pace of work.

None of its projects has mineral reserves reported under SEC rules. Turning exploration into sale proceeds or a development agreement depends on further work establishing an economically viable deposit and finding buyers or partners. Drilling and other exploration also require government permits, which can limit or delay that work.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in XPL’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

XPL says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Solitario Resources Corp.’s prospects hinge on discoveries and financing, with Nexa funding its Florida Canyon zinc interest through to production and Teck partnering on Lik.

  • Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd.’s exposure to zinc prices offers a read on the economics of Solitario’s Florida Canyon and Lik zinc projects. Santacruz earns nearly all its revenue selling silver and zinc in concentrate form; its zinc sales are the line to watch.

  • Coeur Mining operates the Wharf gold mine in South Dakota’s Black Hills, the same area where Solitario explores its Golden Crest gold project. Wharf’s operating news offers a local reference for Golden Crest, though Solitario is still exploring rather than producing gold.

  • Silver Bow Mining Corp. shares Solitario’s exposure to zinc-project values and funding for US exploration: both advance mineral properties without mine revenue. Silver Bow explores zinc and other metals in Montana; progress toward a feasibility study at Rainbow Block is the concrete milestone to watch.

  • Fury Gold Mines Limited and Solitario’s Golden Crest project both seek value from gold discoveries before establishing economically recoverable reserves or starting production. For both, the key is whether exploration can establish gold deposits worth mining, rather than current gold sales.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Solitario earns interest on its money-market account and short-term investments, so the Fed’s decision on the cost of borrowing can change the interest income it receives on those funds.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Solitario Resources Corp. earningsThis company

    Solitario’s report will show whether its available funds and partners’ contributions can support the company’s exploration work.

in 24 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced

    Fury Gold Mines Limited earningsFURY

    Fury Gold Mines Limited’s report will show whether exploration is moving a gold discovery closer to economically mineable reserves, the same challenge facing Solitario’s Golden Crest project.

  2. Time to be announced

    Silver Bow Mining Corp. earningsSBMT

    Silver Bow Mining Corp.’s report will show whether its Rainbow Block zinc project is moving toward a feasibility study and whether funding is keeping pace with US exploration, both relevant to Solitario’s project and funding choices.

in 25 daysFri, Nov 13

  1. Time to be announced

    Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. earningsSCZM

    Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd.’s zinc sales will show how its zinc business is faring, offering a market reference for Solitario’s Florida Canyon and Lik zinc projects.