Stock daily read

What happened with VERX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

VERX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Vertex, Inc. serves large and midsize businesses that must apply different tax rules across sales, purchases and locations. Its flagship O Series software uses a proprietary tax-rule database to determine which taxes apply and calculate the amount due for each transaction. Its broader software also prepares tax returns and handles electronic invoices, including submission for government validation where that is required for an invoice to be legally valid.

Customers pay for cloud-hosted or on-premise software subscriptions, including monthly tax-content updates. These subscriptions provide most of Vertex’s revenue; implementation, support and managed tax-filing and payment services provide a smaller share. Pricing principally reflects the customer’s revenue base, so business expansion and greater use can increase spending. Vertex sells directly and through partners, including service providers that use its technology for their own customers. Most revenue comes from U.S.-based customers.

Most revenue and growth come from existing customers, making renewals, wider usage and additional product purchases central to the business. Vertex must keep its tax content accurate and current and its software working with customers’ business systems. Integrations with SAP and Oracle are important relationships, and the company depends on software partners to maintain compatibility and reach customers.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in VERX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

VERX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Thomson Reuters competes with Vertex for enterprise spending on software that calculates indirect taxes and handles tax reporting and compliance: its ONESOURCE software addresses those same tasks.

  • Workiva and Vertex both draw on large companies’ spending to automate compliance, but Workiva sells financial reporting and governance software while Vertex sells tax calculation and filing software. Workiva’s subscription and support revenue is worth watching for signs of spending on reporting automation among large corporate customers.

  • BlackLine and Vertex both sell to large and midmarket businesses modernizing finance operations: BlackLine automates closing the books and collecting customer payments, while Vertex automates indirect-tax compliance. Demand for BlackLine’s financial-close and receivables software offers a view of those customers’ appetite for finance automation.

  • SAP’s customers modernizing their transaction and finance systems also create opportunities for Vertex’s integrated tax-compliance software. SAP sells the systems businesses use to manage transactions and finances; Vertex connects to those systems to handle tax compliance.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    SAP SE earningsSAP

    SAP's report will show whether businesses are still modernizing the systems Vertex connects to when it automates their tax compliance.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Thomson Reuters Corporation earningsTRI

    Thomson Reuters' report offers a read on demand and competition in indirect-tax software, where Vertex is competing for the same enterprise budgets.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Vertex, Inc. earningsThis company

    Vertex earns most of its revenue from software subscriptions, and this report will show whether existing customers keep expanding their purchases as cloud growth affects gross margin.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Workiva Inc. earningsWK

    Workiva's report will show whether large companies keep paying for compliance and reporting automation, a useful read on spending by the businesses Vertex also serves.