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What happened with VAL today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

VAL in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Oil and gas companies hire Valaris to drill offshore wells using its rigs and crews. Floating rigs used in deeper waters bring in the largest share of revenue, followed by jackup rigs used in shallow waters. Customers generally pay an agreed daily rate rather than a share of the oil or gas produced. Valaris pays crew and rig operating costs; customers bear most other well-construction costs and the economic risk of an unsuccessful well.

Most revenue comes from outside the United States, and a small group of large customers supplies a substantial share, including Petrobras, BP and Azule Energy. Valaris also leases rigs to ARO, its drilling joint venture with Saudi Aramco. ARO operates under long-term contracts with Saudi Aramco and depends heavily on that customer.

Revenue depends on how much time rigs spend on paid work and the daily rates customers agree to pay. Repairs and other interruptions can reduce those rates or stop payment altogether. Demand for rigs depends on oil and gas companies’ offshore spending, which is influenced by energy prices and expectations. Permitting, safety and environmental rules also limit where and how drilling can take place.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in VAL’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

VAL says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Valaris also depends materially on BP and Azule Energy’s drilling budgets and on Saudi Aramco’s long-term contracts through its ARO joint venture.

  • Transocean competes with Valaris to supply rigs and crews for oil and gas companies’ deepwater wells, but has also agreed to buy Valaris by giving shareholders 15.235 Transocean shares for each Valaris share. Watch shareholder and regulatory approvals: this all-stock deal remains conditional and could be delayed or fail to close.

  • Noble competes globally with Valaris for oil and gas companies’ drilling contracts, supplying drillships, semisubmersibles and shallow-water jackup rigs. Its contract wins and rig deployment show where customers are putting offshore drilling budgets that both companies pursue.

  • Seadrill and Valaris both supply drillships, semisubmersible rigs and crews to offshore oil and gas operators, tying their business to deepwater drilling spending. Watch the daily prices and operating activity of Seadrill’s floating rigs for clues to demand facing Valaris’s Floaters business.

  • Borr Drilling Limited competes with Valaris to supply premium jackup rigs and crews to oil and gas customers drilling in shallow water, with customers paying by the day. Its contracts for new production wells in already-producing fields offer a read on demand for Valaris’s jackup fleet.

  • Petrobras pays Valaris for offshore drilling services and accounted for at least 10% of Valaris’s consolidated revenue in 2025. Watch the oil producer’s drilling plans in Brazil’s offshore Santos and Campos basins, where its most significant proved reserves sit, for signals about a major customer’s demand.

  • Tidewater and Valaris depend on the same offshore energy activity: customers pay Tidewater for marine transportation and Valaris for drilling rigs and crews. Tidewater’s vessel activity across its offshore markets offers another view of the spending that supports rig demand.

Agenda

in 7 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Noble Corporation plc earningsNE

    Noble and Valaris both rent floaters and jackups to oil and gas companies, so Noble’s report will show how much offshore drilling work customers are putting into a market they share.

in 14 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Valaris Limited earningsThis company

    Valaris rents rigs and crews by the day, and this report will show whether floater and jackup utilization and day rates support its revenue and operating income.

  2. Time to be announced

    Transocean LTD. earningsRIG

    Transocean has agreed to acquire Valaris in an all-stock deal, and any update in its report on approvals or closing conditions could clarify how the transaction uncertainty is changing.

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Seadrill Limited earningsSDRL

    Seadrill and Valaris both provide floating rigs to offshore oil and gas companies, so Seadrill’s floater rates and activity will offer a read on demand and pricing for Valaris’s Floater business.

in 22 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A.-PETROBRAS earningsPBR

    Petrobras pays Valaris for offshore drilling and accounted for at least 10% of its consolidated revenue in 2025, so its report can show how this major customer’s Brazilian offshore plans are changing.

in 30 daysWed, Nov 18

  1. Time to be announced

    Borr Drilling Limited earningsBORR

    Borr Drilling and Valaris both rent jackups to oil and gas customers for shallow-water drilling, so Borr’s report will show whether demand for the kind of jackup work Valaris supplies is holding up.