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What happened with TDW today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TDW in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Tidewater supplies vessels and crews that help oil and gas companies and their contractors work offshore. Its ships carry supplies and personnel, tow drilling rigs and handle anchors, and support construction and subsea work. Platform supply vessels generate most vessel revenue. The company also supports offshore windfarm development and maintenance.

Customers mainly hire vessels under contracts running from several months to several years, generally paying a fixed daily rate; shorter spot charters provide a smaller share of revenue. How much Tidewater earns depends on how many days its vessels work and the rates it can charge. Both depend heavily on customers’ offshore spending, while the supply of competing vessels also affects rates. Most of the current fleet serves deepwater operations. Large customers collectively provide a substantial share of revenue, and customer relationships change as charters are renewed or replaced.

Access to some markets depends on ownership rules. The Jones Act reserves U.S. coastwise transportation for qualifying U.S.-citizen-owned and controlled vessels, so Tidewater limits foreign ownership of its shares. Some foreign markets require local ownership or favor local vessels; Tidewater uses local partnerships and other legal arrangements to operate there.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TDW’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TDW says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Tidewater’s results hinge on offshore spending by customers such as Eni and the supply of support vessels, which together shape vessel utilization and daily hire rates.

  • Noble and Tidewater both earn money from oil companies’ offshore drilling and field development: Noble operates drilling rigs, while Tidewater provides support vessels. Noble’s ultra-deepwater drilling business is the part to watch alongside Tidewater’s mostly deepwater fleet.

  • Transocean and Tidewater depend on the same offshore exploration and development campaigns: customers pay Transocean for rigs and crews to drill wells, and Tidewater for vessel support. Watch Transocean’s ultra-deepwater drilling activity for a read on demand around Tidewater’s deepwater operations.

  • Seadrill’s drilling campaigns need the vessel logistics and support that Tidewater provides; oil and gas companies pay Seadrill to operate rigs and Tidewater to move supplies and personnel. Watch Seadrill’s rigs starting work, including the upgraded unit expected to begin a contract in the second quarter of 2026.

  • Valaris and Tidewater share exposure to offshore drilling budgets: customers pay Valaris for deepwater and shallow-water rigs and crews, and Tidewater for marine support. Valaris’s deepwater drilling business is the closer comparison for Tidewater’s mostly deepwater fleet, rather than its shallow-water rigs.

  • Oceaneering and Tidewater both depend on spending on offshore drilling, subsea work and maintenance: offshore energy customers buy underwater robot services from Oceaneering and vessel support from Tidewater. Watch Oceaneering’s Subsea Robotics revenue, rather than its aerospace and defense business, for the relevant demand signal.

  • Bristow Group and Tidewater both earn money moving people to offshore operations: energy companies hire Bristow’s helicopters, while Tidewater’s vessels carry personnel and supplies. Bristow’s Offshore Energy Services revenue is the useful comparison, not its government search-and-rescue work.

  • Borr Drilling tracks the shallow-water side of Tidewater’s demand: oil and gas customers pay Borr for drilling rigs and crews, while Tidewater’s shallow-water vessels deliver supplies and handle anchors. Watch Borr’s drilling of new production wells in already-producing fields, rather than treating it as a gauge of Tidewater’s mostly deepwater fleet.

  • KNOT Offshore Partners and Tidewater both depend on offshore fields staying active: customers hire KNOT’s tankers to load and transport crude, while Tidewater supplies vessels for field production and maintenance. KNOT’s tanker-charter business offers a view of producing offshore fields, rather than drilling activity.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Oceaneering International Inc. earningsOII

    Oceaneering’s Subsea Robotics revenue shows what offshore energy customers are spending on underwater work and maintenance, which can also require Tidewater’s support vessels.

  2. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    For Tidewater, weekly US crude oil and gasoline stocks show whether oil and fuel supplies are tightening or building, which can shift oil prices, customers’ offshore spending and demand for its vessel charters.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Valaris Limited earningsVAL

    Valaris’s deepwater drilling business is the closest match to the deepwater work Tidewater mainly serves, so its report will show whether oil and gas companies are still funding those campaigns.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Tidewater, Inc. earningsThis company

    Tidewater earns vessel revenue from day rates and working days, and this report will show whether those hold up while operating costs leave room for gains.

in 44 daysThu, Dec 3

  1. Time to be announced

    KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP earningsKNOP

    KNOT Offshore Partners’ tanker-charter business reflects activity at offshore producing fields, where Tidewater provides vessels for production and maintenance.