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What happened with KNOP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

KNOP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Energy companies use KNOT Offshore Partners LP’s vessels to load crude oil from offshore production facilities, transport it and discharge it. Most revenue comes from contracts under which the partnership provides and operates a vessel for an agreed period, generally charging a daily hire rate. These are time charters. It also hires out vessels for customers to operate and crew themselves under bareboat charters. Its charters with major energy companies typically begin as long-term, fixed-rate contracts.

Revenue is concentrated among a small group of oil companies. Shell subsidiary Brazil Shipping I Limited is the largest customer; Equinor and Eni Trading and Shipping are also important customers. The partnership relies heavily on KNOT affiliates for crewing, vessel management, maintenance and securing or renewing contracts.

The business depends on offshore oil production creating demand for its vessels and on replacing expiring charters at workable rates. Required drydock inspections take vessels out of service and interrupt hire income. The fleet must also meet environmental, safety and security rules to maintain required certificates and port access.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in KNOP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

KNOP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond this list, KNOP depends on Shell, its largest customer at 22% of 2025 revenue, and KNOT, which supplies fleet acquisitions and guarantees hire on two vessels.

  • Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. competes with KNOP for oil companies’ contracts to carry offshore crude. In September 2025, it had six shuttle tankers and ten on order, making its fleet expansion a key watchpoint for competing vessel supply.

  • Petrobras pays for KNOP’s offshore crude transport through Fronape, a Transpetro subsidiary, which accounted for 10% of KNOP’s 2025 revenue, and extensively charters shuttle tankers in Brazil. As Brazil’s largest oil producer, its production in the offshore Santos and Campos basins is a watchpoint for shuttle-tanker demand.

  • KNOP relies on Equinor’s payments for hiring its shuttle tankers: Equinor accounted for 15% of KNOP’s 2025 revenue, making its vessel-chartering decisions directly relevant to KNOP’s income.

  • TotalEnergies pays to hire KNOP’s vessels through its subsidiary Chartering and Shipping Service, which supplied 11% of KNOP’s 2025 revenue. Revenue from that customer rose to $38.433 million from $24.127 million in 2024, making its vessel hires a concrete source of revenue growth to follow.

  • Tidewater, Inc. and KNOP both depend on offshore field activity: energy operators pay Tidewater for marine and transportation services, while KNOP carries their offshore crude. Demand for Tidewater’s services offers another view of the offshore activity that supports KNOP’s tanker demand.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    For KNOT Offshore Partners, the EIA’s weekly US crude-oil and gasoline stocks show how much oil and fuel is held in storage; changes can signal shifts in supply and demand that influence oil prices, production and demand for its shuttle-tanker charters.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Equinor ASA earningsEQNR

    Equinor’s report will show how business and vessel-chartering demand are shaping up at a customer that provides an important share of KNOP’s hire revenue.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For KNOT Offshore Partners, the Fed’s policy rate—the benchmark that influences borrowing costs—matters because changes in rates can raise or ease the cost of its floating-rate debt and affect cash left for running its shuttle tankers and distributions.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Tidewater, Inc. earningsTDW

    Tidewater’s report will show offshore operators’ demand for marine services, offering an indirect read on the field activity that supports KNOP’s shuttle-tanker demand.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A.-PETROBRAS earningsPBR

    Petrobras’s report will show Brazilian offshore production and chartering needs, which matter to KNOP’s Brazil transport business and revenue from Petrobras’s transport subsidiary.

in 30 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced

    Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. earningsTEN

    Tsakos Energy Navigation’s report will show how its shuttle-tanker fleet is expanding, helping indicate whether oil companies have more competing vessels to choose from when hiring KNOP’s ships.

in 44 daysThu, Dec 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP earningsThis company

    KNOP hires out shuttle tankers and provides transport services, and this report will show whether vessel use and charter revenue can outpace operating costs and support debt service.