Stock daily read

What happened with TRIB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TRIB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Trinity Biotech plc supplies laboratories, hospitals and public-health authorities with products used to detect diseases and measure blood markers. Clinical laboratory products provide most revenue, including reagents and instruments for infectious-disease testing and diabetes monitoring. Its Premier Hb9210 instrument measures HbA1c, a marker used to monitor blood sugar. Customers buy directly or through distributors and strategic partners. Its Immco Diagnostics subsidiary also earns fees for laboratory testing services. The haemoglobin-testing business is moving away from a large distributor and seeking new distribution relationships.

The company also sells Uni-Gold and TrinScreen rapid HIV tests. Demand and payment timing depend partly on government-funded testing programs, including U.S.-supported HIV programs whose funding changes have disrupted orders. Sales in Africa also depend on inclusion in national testing algorithms, which specify which tests providers use.

Trinity Biotech is developing CGM+, a wearable platform for continuous glucose monitoring and other biosensing, using technology acquired from Waveform. It is not yet commercialized. Medical-device sales require the relevant market clearances or approvals, and continued compliance with manufacturing and product-quality rules.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TRIB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TRIB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Trinity Biotech’s results hinge on clinical-laboratory sales and internationally funded HIV testing, with Roche Diagnostics an important competitor to watch beyond this list.

  • Bio-Rad competes with Trinity Biotech for clinical laboratories’ spending on HbA1c testing, autoimmune diagnostics and infectious-disease assays.

  • Abbott competes with Trinity Biotech for rapid HIV and clinical-laboratory testing business. Its FreeStyle Libre glucose-monitoring systems also compete with the continuous glucose monitors Trinity plans to bring to market.

  • QuidelOrtho and Trinity Biotech compete for overlapping healthcare customers buying clinical-laboratory, point-of-care and blood-bank diagnostic products. Watch QuidelOrtho’s Labs, Point of Care and Transfusion Medicine product revenue for signals about spending in those markets.

  • Dexcom already sells continuous glucose monitors for diabetes management, making it a competitor to Trinity Biotech’s still-uncommercialized monitoring platform. Watch Dexcom’s glucose-monitoring technology as Trinity develops its own offering.

Agenda

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Trinity Biotech’s Fed interest-rate decision matters because it can affect the cost of interest on the company’s $108 million variable-rate term loan and the cash left to run its diagnostic-products business.

in 14 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc. earningsBIO

    Bio-Rad’s report will show how its clinical diagnostics business is selling, offering a signal about the laboratory-testing markets it shares with Trinity Biotech.

in 50 daysThu, Dec 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Trinity Biotech plc earningsThis company

    Trinity Biotech’s report will show whether it can revive point-of-care sales while maintaining its gross margin.