Stock daily read

What happened with TLK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TLK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia is an Indonesian government-controlled telecommunications company whose main business is connecting people to the internet. Its majority-owned subsidiary Telkomsel supplies mobile services, the largest source of group revenue, with data and digital services now outweighing traditional voice and SMS. Most cellular subscribers use prepaid services under SIMPATI or by.U; Telkomsel Halo serves postpaid users. Telkomsel also supplies home broadband under IndiHome, which customers can buy alone or bundle with television and fixed telephone services.

Businesses and government agencies pay Telkom for connectivity, cloud services and IT solutions. Other telecommunications operators pay to connect calls through its network and lease space for equipment on its towers, principally owned by Mitratel. Telin earns revenue by selling international connectivity over submarine cables to carriers, enterprises and large internet-service providers.

The business depends on keeping its networks reliable and funding capacity upgrades as customers use more data. Additional mobile capacity also depends on spectrum allocated through government auctions. Indonesian rules require it to share passive infrastructure, such as towers and ducts, with competitors, and the ministry may set tariffs when operators cannot agree. Telkom relies heavily on Telkomsel, which it co-owns with Singtel; differences between the owners can complicate decisions. Customers’ shift to internet applications is reducing traditional voice and messaging income.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TLK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TLK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Telkom’s results hinge chiefly on Indonesian mobile-data spending and pricing competition with IOH and XL Smart, its next-largest cellular rivals, neither of which appears in this list.

  • Telkom depends on Ericsson’s mobile-network and 5G equipment and services to maintain and expand the network serving its cellular customers. Watch Ericsson for equipment-supply disruptions or higher costs: Telkom has few international suppliers to turn to, so these could raise its network spending or delay projects.

  • PLDT and Telkom share the shift toward mobile data and home broadband, selling those services to customers in the Philippines and Indonesia, respectively, as smartphone adoption grows and legacy voice use declines. Watch whether PLDT’s mobile-data and home-broadband revenue growth offsets fading voice and SMS business—the same challenge Telkom faces as customers use more data.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia earningsThis company

    Telkom earns most of its revenue from mobile services, and this report will show whether data and home broadband can keep that revenue engine on track.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    PLDT Inc. earningsPHI

    PLDT faces the same shift from voice and SMS to mobile data and home broadband as Telkom, and its report will show whether data growth can offset those legacy declines.