SGRY in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with SGRY today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Surgery Partners, Inc. runs outpatient surgery centers and surgical hospitals across the United States, primarily in partnership with physicians. These facilities provide non-emergency procedures, including orthopedic, eye and gastrointestinal care. Patient care generates nearly all revenue. The company charges for operating and recovery rooms, equipment, supplies and nursing care; surgeons and other attending physicians generally bill their professional fees separately. Private insurers supply the largest share of patient-service revenue, with Medicare, Medicaid and other government payors supplying much of the rest.
The business depends on physicians choosing its facilities: most are neither employees nor contractually required to use them. It also depends on insurers' contracts, coverage decisions and payment rates. Private insurers generally pay more than government programs, so the mix of patients and procedures affects earnings. Facilities in Idaho account for a substantial share of revenue.
Expansion requires health care licenses and, in some states, approval that additional capacity or services are needed. Federal law also prohibits the company's grandfathered physician-owned surgical hospitals from increasing physician ownership and limits additions to beds, operating rooms and procedure rooms.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Surgery Partners' results hinge on surgical case volumes and insurer reimbursement; AMSURG and Optum are also important national competitors to watch, though neither appears on this list.
Tenet's USPI surgery centers and surgical hospitals compete with Surgery Partners for surgical patients, physicians and facility acquisitions. Watch USPI's facility acquisitions for changes in that competitive footprint, rather than treating all of Tenet's hospital business as equally relevant.
HCA Healthcare's surgery centers, endoscopy centers and hospitals compete with Surgery Partners for patients and physician referrals. Its efforts to make outpatient care more accessible and convenient are worth watching because those services compete for the same patients and doctors.
Ardent Health's surgery centers and hospital surgical services compete with Surgery Partners for surgical patients and physicians where their markets overlap. Watch Ardent's local partnerships with medical centers, hospital systems and community physicians, which give it care locations and clinical talent.
Community Health Systems competes with Surgery Partners for patients through hospital surgery and outpatient services, paid for by government agencies, private insurers and patients. Its surgical and outpatient business is the relevant part to watch, rather than its broader emergency and inpatient care.
Universal Health Services competes with Surgery Partners in general and specialty surgery through its acute care hospitals and outpatient facilities. Watch that surgical business rather than its behavioral-health results, which are less closely related to Surgery Partners.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
For Surgery Partners, Fed rate decisions matter because higher rates can raise the interest it pays on variable-rate facility debt, leaving less income and cash for debt service.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
If rates rise more than expected, Surgery Partners may pay more interest on variable-rate debt, leaving less cash to meet debt payments.
If it comes in below expectations
If rates fall more than expected, interest costs on variable-rate debt may ease, leaving Surgery Partners more cash after debt payments.
Tenet Healthcare Corporation earningsTHC
Tenet’s report will show whether USPI is expanding its surgery-center footprint through acquisitions, adding competition with Surgery Partners for patients, physicians and facility deals.
Look at how many surgical facilities USPI acquires and whether those deals expand its surgery-center footprint. A larger footprint gives USPI more locations to compete for patients and physicians, and may put it in more facility deals against Surgery Partners; few acquisitions and little change in footprint would show less added competitive capacity. The takeaway is whether USPI is becoming a stronger direct rival for Surgery Partners’ patients, physicians and facilities.
JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)
Job openings track employers’ unfilled positions, so for Surgery Partners stronger hiring demand can make it harder and costlier to staff its surgical facilities with nurses and other workers.
Expected7.0MLast release7.079M
If it comes in above expectations
More openings than expected could intensify competition for nurses and other staff at Surgery Partners’ facilities, pushing up wages and temporary-staff costs that it may not be able to pass on.
If it comes in below expectations
If the reading is below the 7.0M estimate, it is below the previous 7.079M. Fewer openings than expected could ease competition for nurses and other staff, limiting wage and temporary-staff cost pressure at Surgery Partners’ facilities.
Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)
The monthly jobs report counts jobs added or lost and tracks wage growth; for Surgery Partners, stronger hiring and wages can raise staffing costs at its surgical facilities, which it has limited ability to pass on.
Stronger job and wage growth would point to more pressure on Surgery Partners’ staffing costs; weaker growth could ease that pressure. The company has limited ability to pass higher labor costs on.
Surgery Partners, Inc. earningsThis company
Surgery Partners’ report will show whether its existing surgical facilities are growing through more cases and higher revenue per case, and whether the cost of providing care is keeping pace.
Read growth in cases at existing facilities alongside revenue per case: more cases mean more procedures there, while higher revenue per case can reflect pricing or a different mix of procedures. Then check costs as a share of revenue. If cases and revenue per case grow while the cost share holds steady or falls, existing facilities are growing without costs consuming more of each revenue dollar; if growth is weak and the cost share rises, those facilities provide less support for operating income.