Stock daily read

What happened with HCA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HCA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

HCA Healthcare runs hospitals and related outpatient facilities in the United States and England. It provides care ranging from emergency treatment to surgery, with inpatient care generating most patient revenue and outpatient care contributing a substantial share. Private insurers are its largest revenue source; Medicare and Medicaid, including their managed plans, provide another major share. Patients also pay uninsured bills and amounts their health plans do not cover.

Revenue depends on how many patients receive care, the services physicians order and the reimbursement rates HCA receives. Private insurers generally pay more than government programs, making privately insured patient volumes and insurance contracts especially important. Government payment rules and negotiated insurer discounts limit its ability to raise prices as costs rise. Hospitals also depend on recruiting and retaining physicians and care staff.

Florida and Texas generate most of HCA’s revenue. Medicaid supplemental payments provide additional income, but state-directed arrangements generally require annual federal approval. In some states, HCA also needs regulatory approval to buy, build or expand facilities or change services and bed capacity.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HCA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HCA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Tenet and HCA Healthcare compete for patients, physicians and insurer contracts through their acute care hospitals and outpatient surgery centers. Watch Tenet’s surgery business and insurance-contract negotiations for signs of pressure on HCA’s procedure volumes and payment rates.

  • Universal Health Services competes with HCA Healthcare in acute hospital care, but behavioral health makes up a much larger share of its business. Its acute care and outpatient results are the closer comparison for HCA’s hospital utilization and reimbursement, rather than its company-wide results.

  • Community Health Systems competes with HCA Healthcare for acute, emergency and outpatient care paid for by government agencies, private insurers and patients. Its hospital admissions and reimbursement trends offer a comparison for HCA, but read them alongside its shrinking hospital count.

  • Ardent Health and HCA Healthcare compete through acute care hospitals and outpatient networks, with shared exposure particularly to Texas healthcare demand. Watch Ardent’s Texas inpatient and outpatient volumes: HCA’s Texas facilities generated $20.962 billion in revenue in 2025.

  • Surgery Partners competes with HCA Healthcare’s hospitals and surgery centers for surgical patients and affiliated physicians, putting some of HCA’s high-margin services under pressure. Watch its non-emergency surgery volumes, including orthopedics and eye procedures, and its ability to attract physicians.

  • Oscar Health sells individual and family health insurance and pays HCA Healthcare for members’ care; HCA, including its local affiliates, accounted for approximately 8% of Oscar’s total allowable medical costs in both 2025 and 2024. Watch renewals and negotiated hospital prices, which affect Oscar’s care costs and HCA’s insurer-paid revenue.

Agenda

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    HCA Healthcare, Inc. earningsThis company

    HCA Healthcare earns revenue from hospital and outpatient care, and this report will show whether its activity and revenue per unit can withstand cost and reimbursement pressure.

  2. Time to be announced

    Universal Health Services, Inc. earningsUHS

    Universal Health Services competes with HCA Healthcare for acute-care patients, and its acute-care and outpatient results will show whether utilization and reimbursement conditions are moving similarly.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision on its benchmark interest rate matters to HCA because higher rates can make refinancing or new borrowing more expensive, adding to the interest costs on its debt.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Tenet Healthcare Corporation earningsTHC

    Tenet competes with HCA Healthcare for surgical patients, physicians, and insurer contracts, so its surgery results will show how much pressure HCA’s hospital and surgery-center business faces.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Ardent Health, Inc. earningsARDT

    Ardent competes with HCA Healthcare in Texas, and its inpatient and outpatient volumes will offer a read on activity in a state that is important to HCA.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Oscar Health, Inc. earningsOSCR

    Oscar Health pays for care its members receive from HCA Healthcare, and its renewals and medical costs will show how insurer demand and pressure over hospital payments are changing.