ROST in three months: buy, wait or sell?
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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
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Ross Stores runs two discount retail chains selling clothing, footwear, accessories and home goods. Its larger chain, Ross Dress for Less, primarily serves middle-income households seeking brand-name and designer merchandise below department-store prices. dd’s DISCOUNTS offers a lower-priced assortment for households with lower to moderate incomes. Shoppers pay the company directly when they buy goods in its stores.
Ross buys most merchandise directly from manufacturers, including excess production and canceled orders, and also buys newly produced goods from brands and factories. Its buyers generally purchase later than competing retailers, looking for opportunities when manufacturers have more goods than retailers want. Low purchase costs and smaller markups help it offer consistently low prices. Some purchases go into storage for a later selling season rather than straight to stores. The business depends on a continuing supply of desirable merchandise at low enough prices to preserve those discounts; goods that do not sell as expected require markdowns that reduce what Ross earns.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
TJX Companies competes with Ross for value-conscious shoppers buying discounted branded clothing and home fashions; both seize buying opportunities to keep assortments changing. Watch TJX’s buying prices and markdowns for signs of the merchandise opportunities available to this retail model.
Burlington competes with Ross for shoppers’ spending on discounted clothing, footwear and home goods, with both buying opportunistically to refresh their assortments. Burlington’s inventory turnover and freshness are worth watching as measures of how well its changing selection attracts those shoppers.
G-III supplies Ross with branded clothing and products developed for the retailer’s own labels, making Ross’s purchasing important to G-III rather than establishing equal dependence. Ross accounted for 11.0% of G-III’s sales in fiscal 2026, so changes in that business offer a direct view of Ross’s apparel orders.
Gap’s Old Navy competes with Ross and dd’s DISCOUNTS for clothing purchases by value-conscious families. Old Navy’s apparel sales are the part of Gap’s results to watch for this rivalry, rather than treating all four Gap brands as equally relevant.
Dillard’s competes with Ross for families’ clothing, footwear and accessory purchases, while Ross offers discounted alternatives to department-store merchandise. Dillard’s sales in those categories are the relevant watchpoint for Ross, not its cosmetics or construction revenue.
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. shares Ross’s exposure to shoppers seeking bargains and suppliers’ excess branded inventory: both buy closeout goods to sell changing selections at discounted prices. Ollie’s buying opportunities offer a read on that supply, though its emphasis is household products rather than Ross’s apparel-led assortment.
Steven Madden supplies footwear to Ross, which was among its ten largest wholesale customers in the year ended December 31, 2025. News about its shoe deliveries to Ross is more directly relevant to Ross’s footwear assortment than Steven Madden’s overall revenue, which includes sales to other retailers.
Steven Madden Ltd earningsSHOO
Steven Madden’s report can show whether its shoe deliveries to Ross are flowing at workable costs, shaping the footwear Ross can put on its shelves.
Focus on Steven Madden’s disclosures about shipments, delivery, and costs—not its total sales to other retailers as a proxy for Ross demand. Steady supply at manageable costs would help Ross keep its shoe assortment available and attractively priced; disruptions or higher costs could make timely replenishment and Ross’s price advantage harder to maintain.
Retail Sales MoM (Oct)
Retail sales track how much households spend in stores, a direct check on demand for Ross’s value-priced apparel, footwear and home goods that can shape customer traffic, sales and markdowns on unsold inventory.
Read the result as a signal of demand for Ross’s value-priced goods: stronger retail spending could support store traffic and sales, while weaker spending could slow sales and increase markdown pressure on inventory.
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) earningsTJX
TJX Companies’ report will show whether this rival to Ross can find appealing branded bargains and sell them without relying on heavy markdowns.
Watch TJX Companies’ buying costs and markdowns. Attractive branded goods bought at workable prices, with limited markdown pressure, would suggest off-price retailers can still draw shoppers through buying and fresh assortments—a potentially supportive merchandise environment for Ross. Higher buying costs or heavier markdowns would point to tougher sourcing economics or slower sell-through, putting pressure on Ross’s room to offer discounts profitably.
Ross Stores Inc earningsThis company
Ross Stores’ report will show whether it can turn shopper demand and off-price buying into sales growth while protecting its margin.
Read comparable-store sales alongside operating margin: the first shows sales trends at existing stores; the second shows how much sales remain after merchandise costs and operating expenses. Strength in both would indicate that shoppers are buying and Ross is sourcing and pricing goods profitably. Weaker sales or a lower margin would point to softer demand, higher merchandise costs, or heavier markdowns—and raise the question of whether its low-price model can still draw shoppers and earn a solid return.
G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd earningsGIII
G-III Apparel Group’s report can show whether Ross’s apparel orders from this supplier are changing, offering a read on one source of Ross’s branded and private-label merchandise.
Look for G-III’s Ross-related sales or order trends, separately from its total sales. Steady or rising Ross-related business would indicate that this apparel-supply channel remains active; a decline would show Ross buying less from G-III, but would not by itself explain why or prove that Ross’s total apparel purchases fell.