Stock daily read

What happened with PRAA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PRAA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

PRA Group buys loans that banks and other lenders have been unable, or have chosen not, to collect in full. It becomes the creditor: cash comes from the borrowers who owe the money, rather than mainly from fees paid by lenders. Purchased debt portfolios generate nearly all its revenue, with the U.S. and Europe as its principal markets.

The company pursues repayments through its own collection staff and outside agencies, and may turn to legal recovery after voluntary collection efforts. Collecting court judgments supplies a significant portion of revenue. A smaller part of the business involves borrowers in bankruptcy or similar proceedings, where PRA Group files claims and receives distributions under repayment plans.

Returns depend on buying portfolios at prices that leave enough collections to cover purchase, collection and financing costs. This requires estimating what borrowers will repay over extended periods and obtaining new portfolios from lenders. Debt ownership and collection require licenses in many markets; consumer-protection rules, filing deadlines and documentation requirements limit what PRA Group can recover, sometimes even when the original lender caused the compliance problem.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PRAA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PRAA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

PRA Group’s results depend on how much defaulted debt lenders sell and at what price, how much borrowers repay, and the costs of collecting and financing those purchases.

  • Encore Capital and PRA Group compete in the U.S. and Europe to buy defaulted consumer debts from lenders and earn money as borrowers repay, so portfolio prices, collections and financing costs matter to both. Encore’s collections from these borrowers offer a read on the repayment conditions PRA faces.

  • Jefferson Capital competes with PRA Group for unpaid consumer loans in overlapping markets, buying from lenders either in one-off sales or through agreements for repeated purchases at a set price; both then collect from borrowers. Jefferson’s purchase prices and new agreements offer clues to the cost and supply of loan portfolios available to PRA.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals the cost of borrowing across the economy; for PRA Group, which borrows to buy nonperforming-loan portfolios, higher rates can increase financing costs and reduce portfolio returns.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Encore Capital Group, Inc. earningsECPG

    Encore Capital's collections offer a read on borrower repayments, a clue to the recovery conditions PRA Group faces on defaulted debt.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    PRA Group, Inc. earningsThis company

    PRA Group buys defaulted debt and collects from borrowers, so this report will show whether collections support portfolio income and operating profit in the U.S. and Europe.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report tracks how many jobs are added or lost; because PRA Group relies on consumers to pay purchased debts, employment affects customers’ ability to pay and the collections PRA Group receives.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced

    Jefferson Capital, Inc. earningsJCAP

    Jefferson Capital's purchases, prices and agreements for repeated buying offer clues to debt supply and bidding competition in the market where PRA Group buys portfolios.