Stock daily read

What happened with ORN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ORN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Orion Group Holdings gets most of its revenue from marine construction, primarily for government agencies. It builds and repairs ports, Navy facilities and other structures on or around waterways, and removes sediment to keep shipping channels usable. Channels naturally accumulate sediment, so maintenance dredging provides recurring work. Private commercial and industrial customers also pay for its marine services.

Its other substantial business is concrete construction, primarily for private customers in Texas and Florida. General contractors, owners and developers hire Orion to prepare sites, install forms and reinforcing steel, and place and finish concrete for projects such as commercial buildings, industrial facilities, apartments and data centers.

Orion wins most projects through competitive bidding. Much of its revenue comes from fixed-price contracts, so earnings depend on estimating costs accurately and completing work within those estimates. The business also depends on winning replacement projects as existing jobs finish. The U.S. Navy is a particularly important customer; Orion serves as a dedicated subcontractor on its Pearl Harbor dry dock project.

Many contracts require guarantees from surety companies that Orion will perform the work and pay its obligations; access to these guarantees limits which jobs it can pursue. Environmental permits can delay or prevent marine projects. U.S. maritime law also requires U.S.-citizen ownership and control of vessels used for domestic transport or dredging, restricting foreign ownership of the entities holding Orion’s qualifying vessels.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ORN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ORN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Orion also depends materially on U.S. Navy investment, including its dedicated subcontractor work on the Dragados/Hawaiian Dredging/Orion Pearl Harbor dry-dock project.

  • Southland Holdings competes with Orion for marine construction work: both build terminals, piers, bridges and outfalls and dredge waterways. Watch Southland’s marine and dredging project awards for a read on the work available to Orion’s marine business.

  • Sterling Infrastructure competes with Orion in commercial concrete and infrastructure construction, and both serve data-center development. Watch Sterling’s work preparing data-center sites and installing electrical and mechanical systems for clues to spending in a rapidly growing market for Orion’s concrete business.

  • Granite Construction competes with Orion for public and private clients’ port, bridge and water-infrastructure projects. Its awards for those projects offer a closer read on Orion’s marine opportunities than its sales of construction materials.

  • Comfort Systems USA shares Orion’s exposure to technology, manufacturing and institutional construction spending, but installs heating, cooling, plumbing and electrical systems while Orion supplies concrete construction. Watch Comfort’s revenue from technology and manufacturing customers for signals about demand in Orion’s concrete markets.

  • IES Holdings and Orion depend on data-center and commercial-building investment for different work: IES installs technology and electrical systems, while Orion builds concrete foundations and structures. Watch IES’s repeat business with technology customers for clues to demand in Orion’s growing data-center market.

  • EMCOR shares Orion’s exposure to commercial and industrial building investment: customers pay EMCOR to install electrical and mechanical systems and Orion to perform concrete construction. Watch EMCOR’s electrical and mechanical construction work for a read on spending in these shared markets.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Orion Group Holdings, Inc earningsThis company

    Orion takes on fixed-price marine and concrete projects, and this report will show whether added project revenue is reaching gross profit.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. earningsSTRL

    Sterling Infrastructure competes with Orion for commercial concrete and data-center projects, and its report will show how active those shared markets are and how much competition Orion faces.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Orion’s rate-sensitive government and private customers may delay or cancel marine and concrete projects when borrowing costs rise, reducing contract awards and construction revenue.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Southland Holdings, Inc. earningsSLND

    Southland Holdings competes with Orion for marine construction and dredging projects, and its awards will show the opportunity and competitive pressure facing Orion’s marine business.

in 31 daysFri, Nov 20

  1. Time to be announced

    IES Holdings, Inc. earningsIESC

    IES Holdings installs electrical systems for technology customers, and its repeat business can signal demand in the data-center market for Orion’s concrete work.