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What happened with OMF today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

OMF in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

OneMain Holdings lends to consumers who need timely access to cash, primarily borrowers with weaker credit profiles. Personal loans make up most of its lending. Customers apply through branches, online or by phone, and OneMain assesses their income, expenses and ability to repay. Loans carry fixed interest rates and may be backed by a car or other titled property, or have no collateral.

OneMain earns most of its revenue from interest on the balances borrowers owe. It also finances car purchases through dealerships and offers BrightWay credit cards: a third-party bank issues the cards, and OneMain buys the resulting receivables. Its affiliated insurers sell optional coverage to customers, and it also services loans owned by other parties.

Profitability depends on collecting repayments while covering credit losses, borrowing costs and servicing expenses. Its borrowers generally carry higher credit risk, so OneMain charges higher rates than it would to prime borrowers. It relies on debt markets and financing backed by loan receivables to help fund lending. Some jurisdictions cap loan interest rates, limiting its ability to offset higher funding costs by raising rates.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in OMF’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

OMF says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
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  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • REGIONAL MANAGEMENT CORP competes directly with OneMain for borrowers with weaker credit, charging interest and fees on fixed-term installment loans through a branch-centered business. Payment difficulties among its branch-serviced borrowers are worth watching for signs of repayment pressure in OneMain’s customer base.

  • World Acceptance Corp competes with OneMain for consumers who have limited access to credit, offering loans repaid in monthly installments and relying on customer relationships. Watch its installment-loan interest and fee income for a read on borrowing demand from these households.

  • Enova International, Inc. competes online for the borrowers OneMain serves with nonprime personal loans, offering installment loans and credit that consumers can draw as needed despite limited access to traditional lenders. Watch demand and repayment in its consumer lending rather than its small-business financing when comparing it with OneMain.

  • The LendingClub business described in the supplied material for Happen, Inc. competes with OneMain through fixed-rate personal loans requiring no collateral, especially for borrowers replacing existing debt. Its loans that pay down credit-card balances are the product to watch for competition over debt-refinancing customers.

  • Credit Acceptance Corp competes with OneMain’s dealership auto financing for buyers who cannot obtain conventional car loans; dealers make the loans and transfer them to Credit Acceptance, which services them and collects payments. Repayment on those dealer-originated loans offers a comparison for OneMain’s nonprime auto borrowers.

  • Atlanticus Holdings Corporation supports bank-issued cards for consumers overlooked by lenders focused on higher credit scores, competing with OneMain’s BrightWay cards. Atlanticus handles credit decisions and account servicing while partner banks own the accounts; repayment in those card programs is the comparison to watch for BrightWay.

  • Capital One Financial competes with OneMain across personal loans, consumer credit cards and nationwide auto lending, earning income from lending to customers. Its consumer card and auto-loan results are more relevant comparisons for OneMain than its commercial banking business.

  • Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.’s consumer credit cards compete with OneMain’s BrightWay cards and give borrowers an alternative to OneMain personal loans. Bread issues and services cards through its own banks, making its card-loan interest and fee income worth watching for consumer borrowing demand.

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  • Synchrony Financial competes with OneMain through credit cards and installment loans with or without collateral, reaching consumers through retail and healthcare partners as well as digital channels. Watch borrowing and credit losses in that consumer business for a comparison with OneMain’s personal loans and BrightWay cards.

  • Ally Financial Inc. competes with OneMain for auto borrowers buying through dealerships, but auto finance is a smaller part of OneMain’s loan portfolio than personal lending. Ally’s auto-loan demand and repayment performance are therefore a comparison for that smaller business, not OneMain’s main personal-loan book.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/17)

    Weekly jobless claims count new applications for unemployment benefits; since OneMain’s primarily nonprime borrowers are vulnerable to unemployment, claims can signal changes in their ability to repay personal, auto and BrightWay loans and in OneMain’s credit losses.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    REGIONAL MANAGEMENT CORP earningsRM

    Regional Management's report will show whether borrowers with weaker credit are keeping up with installment-loan payments, a direct comparison for OneMain's similar customers.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    OneMain’s fixed-rate personal, auto and BrightWay loans bring in set interest, so Fed rate moves matter through the cost of funding those loans and the interest margin left after paying lenders.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Credit Acceptance Corp earningsCACC

    Credit Acceptance's report will show whether car buyers who have limited access to conventional loans are repaying, a comparison for OneMain's smaller auto-finance business.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    OneMain Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    OneMain earns interest mainly by lending to nonprime borrowers, and this report will show whether interest from its personal loans covers credit losses and the cost of borrowing.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. 10:00 AMET

    JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

    Job openings track employers’ demand for workers; because OneMain’s primarily nonprime personal-loan, auto-loan and BrightWay borrowers are vulnerable to unemployment, hiring conditions can affect whether they repay and how much OneMain loses on loans.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report counts jobs added or lost; because OneMain’s primarily nonprime borrowers are vulnerable to unemployment, changes in employment can affect repayments on its personal, auto and BrightWay loans and the credit losses it bears.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Atlanticus Holdings Corporation earningsATLC

    Atlanticus's report will show how consumers overlooked by lenders seeking higher credit scores use and repay partner-bank cards, a comparison for OneMain's BrightWay cards.