Stock daily read

What happened with OMEX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

OMEX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Odyssey Marine Exploration helps companies and governments investigate seabed mineral deposits and advance projects toward development. Customers pay for marine research, project administration and other marine services. For selected projects, Odyssey accepts an ownership stake instead of cash; it may later sell project stakes to fund further development.

Its reported service revenue came entirely from CIC Limited and Ocean Minerals, LLC (OML), two deep-sea mineral exploration companies in which it holds minority stakes. The CIC services agreement has expired. These investments remain at the exploration stage and have not begun generating significant operating revenue, so they are not yet established sources of operating income. Odyssey also owns controlling interests in other projects, but continued development depends on funding, establishing usable resources and obtaining government approvals.

One proposed development is Phosagmex, a Mexican fertilizer project based on offshore phosphate, formed with Capital Latinoamericano. The underlying mining concessions have regained legal validity, but concession-fee issues remain under review. The venture plans to seek its own environmental permit after the concessions are reinstated and their assignment becomes effective; the project is not an operating fertilizer business.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in OMEX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

OMEX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Odyssey’s prospects hinge on Phosagmex’s concession reinstatement and environmental permits, plus development at CIC and Ocean Minerals, which together account for all reported service revenue.

  • TMC the metals company Inc. develops seabed mineral nodules, while Odyssey owns stakes in Cook Islands deep-sea mineral explorers, leaving both exposed to mining approvals and the economics of recovering those minerals. Watch TMC’s planned collection and processing of nodules into metals for sale, including nickel, copper and cobalt, for clues to whether this business can be commercially viable.

Agenda

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Odyssey Marine Exploration, Inc earningsThis company

    Odyssey Marine Exploration’s service revenue came entirely from CIC and OML, so this report will show whether the business can replace revenue after its CIC agreement expired and fund its operations.

  2. Time to be announced

    TMC the metals company Inc. earningsTMC

    TMC the metals company’s report will show whether collecting and processing seabed nodules can lead to metal sales, offering clues about the commercial prospects of Odyssey Marine Exploration’s deep-sea mineral stakes.