Stock daily read

What happened with OLED today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

OLED in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Universal Display Corp supplies phosphorescent materials that produce light inside OLED displays and lighting products; it does not make the finished displays or lights. Its manufacturing partner PPG produces the materials, which Universal Display checks against its specifications and resells to manufacturers as needed for production. Material sales are its largest revenue source. Manufacturers also pay to use its patents and technical know-how, through fixed license fees, royalties tied to their licensed-product sales, or both; these payments provide another substantial revenue source.

Most revenue comes from BOE, LG Display and Samsung Display, making those relationships central to the business. Universal Display relies solely on PPG to manufacture the OLED materials it sells. Its income depends on customers continuing to use its materials and technology in commercial products: material purchases support sales revenue, while sales of licensed products support royalties.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in OLED’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

OLED says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Universal Display's results hinge on OLED material purchases and patent licensing by Samsung Display, BOE and LG Display, while PPG is its critical manufacturing supplier.

  • LG Display's OLED panel production and sales feed directly into Universal Display's revenue: it buys OLED materials and pays to use Universal Display's patents to make panels for brands and their designated system integrators. Watch its OLED panel sales for televisions and smartphones, since licensed-product sales volume determines additional license fees above the annual minimum.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Universal Display Corp earningsThis company

    Universal Display's report will show whether panel makers' material purchases and payments to use its OLED patents are both supporting the business.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    LG Display Co. Ltd. earningsLPL

    LG Display's report will show how sales of its OLED TV and phone panels relate to Universal Display's material sales and additional license fees tied to licensed-product volume.