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What happened with OLB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

OLB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

The OLB Group helps U.S. merchants accept credit- and debit-card payments online and in stores, chiefly through eVance. eVance signs up merchants for acquiring banks and payment processors, either assessing merchant risk itself or leaving that assessment to its partners. It earns an ongoing share of processing fees or commissions, sometimes sharing that income with outside sales partners. Payment processing supplies most of OLB’s revenue, making the company heavily dependent on eVance, merchants’ card sales and its bank and processor relationships. It must maintain card-network registrations and comply with network rules to keep processing payments.

OLB also sells merchants OmniSoft software subscriptions and additional services. Its CrowdPay.us platform lets businesses and registered broker-dealers host capital-raising offerings under their own branding. They pay agreed platform fees and fees for services such as identity and compliance checks. CrowdPay itself is neither a registered funding portal nor a broker-dealer.

A smaller, separate business, DMINT, operates Bitcoin-mining computers in Selmer, Tennessee, to earn mining rewards. That business depends on cost-effective electricity and equipment efficiency as miners compete for rewards. OLB plans to spin off DMINT, but completion still requires an effective SEC registration statement and Nasdaq listing approval.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in OLB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

OLB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Shift4 Payments competes with The OLB Group for U.S. merchants paying for card processing, connections to payment processors through proprietary gateways, and commerce software. Watch adoption of Shift4’s combined payments and point-of-sale software offering against OLB’s SecurePay and integrated commerce tools.

  • Priority Technology Holdings competes for the recurring merchant card-processing business on which The OLB Group’s eVance revenue depends. Priority’s Merchant Solutions business is the relevant comparison: it helps merchants accept payments, earning recurring fees from customer sales under multi-year contracts.

  • Global Payments competes with The OLB Group for merchants paying to accept and process payments alongside business-management software. Its rollout of Genius point-of-sale software is worth watching as OLB offers OmniSoft with payment processing to its merchant-services clients.

  • Fiserv competes with The OLB Group for merchants paying to process card transactions and manage their businesses through integrated software. Its Clover payment-and-business-management platform overlaps with OLB’s merchant processing and commerce software.

  • Paysafe competes with The OLB Group in helping merchants accept and process payments through payment gateways, with further overlap in stored-value and card-loading services. Watch Paysafe’s merchant-processing and wallet or card-loading fees, rather than treating its entire digital-wallet business as a match for OLB.

  • PayPal competes with The OLB Group for merchants paying for payment processing and gateway services, with both earning fees from payment activity. PayPal’s transaction-fee revenue is the closer comparison for OLB’s merchant processing than its credit or other value-added revenue.

  • Visa’s network connects banks and merchants to carry the card payments The OLB Group processes for its merchant clients, so greater card transaction activity benefits both. Watch Visa’s card transaction activity and network-fee changes: OLB may have to absorb fee increases if passing them to merchants risks losing business.

  • Mastercard connects card-issuing banks with banks that collect payments for merchants, providing the network underlying The OLB Group’s card processing and charging processors network fees. Fee increases can squeeze OLB’s earnings if it absorbs them, or threaten merchant retention if it passes them on.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    VISA Inc. earningsV

    Visa’s network carries some card payments processed for The OLB Group’s merchants, so Visa’s transaction activity and network-fee changes bear on OLB’s processing volume and costs.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals the direction of borrowing costs, which matters to OLB because its CEO-controlled revolving loan carries 12% interest and the company may need more financing.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. earningsPRTH

    Priority Technology Holdings helps merchants accept payments through Merchant Solutions and earns fees from that activity; its report offers a read on the processing demand that The OLB Group depends on.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    The OLB Group, Inc. earningsThis company

    The OLB Group relies mainly on eVance’s fees for processing merchants’ card payments, and this report will show whether that core revenue has stabilized and subscription and digital-product revenue are recovering.