Stock daily read

What happened with OFG today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

OFG in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

OFG Bancorp serves households and businesses mainly in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands through Oriental Bank. Customer deposits supply most of its funding, which it uses to make business, consumer, auto and home loans and to hold securities. Borrowers pay interest, and the securities portfolio—mostly U.S. agency mortgage-backed securities—also generates interest. Loans provide the larger share of interest income. The difference between interest earned and funding costs accounts for most of OFG’s revenue.

Customers also pay for account and payment services. Through Oriental Financial Services, investors pay brokerage and advisory fees based on transactions or assets managed. OFG also earns insurance commissions and income from originating, selling and servicing mortgages; these activities supplement its interest-based business.

The business depends on retaining deposits at manageable rates and on borrowers’ ability to repay, with much of its lending exposure concentrated in Puerto Rico. Changes in loan yields and deposit costs affect the interest spread. The Durbin Amendment limits its debit-card interchange fees. OFG is also a separate holding company: it relies heavily on dividends from Oriental Bank for its own obligations, and banking laws and capital requirements restrict how much the bank can transfer to it.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in OFG’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

OFG says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • First BanCorp. competes with OFG BANCORP for deposits and for business, consumer, auto and mortgage borrowers in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Its deposit pricing and loan demand in those markets are worth watching for signs of the funding competition and lending conditions OFG faces.

  • Popular, Puerto Rico’s largest financial institution, competes with OFG BANCORP for local deposits and borrowers, while both depend on the island’s economy. Borrowers’ interest payments are Popular’s main revenue source; watch whether it raises deposit rates or lowers loan rates to win customers, a sign of pricing pressure facing OFG.

Agenda

todayWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    OFG BANCORP earningsThis company

    OFG earns most of its interest income from lending, so this report will show whether loan income still covers deposit costs and credit losses.

tomorrowThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    First BanCorp. earningsFBP

    First BanCorp.’s report will show whether competition for depositors and borrowers in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands is raising its funding costs or squeezing loan returns, the same pressure OFG faces.

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals how borrowing costs may shift, changing what OFG earns on loans and securities and pays for deposits and borrowings, and therefore its net interest income.