NSP in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with NSP today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Insperity helps small and medium-sized U.S. businesses handle payroll, employee benefits and employment compliance. HR360, its largest revenue source, bundles these functions with broader HR support. Insperity and each client share employer responsibilities for the client’s employees, an arrangement known as co-employment. With each payroll, clients fund employee wages and pay an additional amount calculated as a percentage of payroll. That amount covers payroll taxes, benefits, workers’ compensation and Insperity’s HR services.
Revenue depends mainly on how many clients and employees it serves and how many employees join its benefit plans. Profitability depends on pricing those services to cover employment costs, particularly health insurance and workers’ compensation. Insperity must pay wages, taxes and benefits even if a client pays late or fails to pay.
UnitedHealthcare supplies most health-insurance coverage, while Chubb provides workers’ compensation coverage; both relationships are difficult to replace. Insperity must also meet applicable state requirements for PEO recognition, licensing, certification or registration.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Insperity’s results hinge on client employment and benefit costs: UnitedHealthcare supplies approximately 85% of participants’ health-insurance coverage, while Workday is its partner on the new HRScale offering.
TRINET GROUP, INC. competes with Insperity for small and medium-sized employers that pay them to handle payroll, benefits and HR while sharing employer responsibilities—a PEO arrangement. TriNet’s core PEO business offers a close comparison for demand for Insperity’s full-service HR offering.
Barrett Business Services competes with Insperity for small and mid-sized businesses that pay for payroll, workers’ compensation, benefits and HR services under shared employer responsibilities. Watch employment at its PEO clients as a comparison for the client workforce growth that drives Insperity’s revenue.
Paychex’s PEO operations compete with Insperity for employers paying to outsource payroll, benefits and HR administration. Its payroll business alone is an incomplete comparison: more than 60% of Paychex’s fiscal 2026 revenue came from other solutions.
Automatic Data Processing competes with Insperity through ADP TotalSource, which employers pay for full-service HR while sharing employer responsibilities with ADP. Its separately reported PEO segment is the closer comparison for Insperity than ADP’s broader payroll and HR software business.
Paylocity Holding Corporation competes with Insperity’s HRCore by selling payroll and employee-management software to businesses, offering an alternative to Insperity’s outsourced PEO services. Paylocity’s revenue per client depends partly on employee numbers, linking it to the employer headcounts that also drive Insperity’s revenue.
Insperity depends on Chubb Limited for difficult-to-replace workers’ compensation insurance; Chubb covers claims above the portions Insperity must bear itself. Watch the terms of this coverage: Insperity says failure to obtain replacement insurance on competitive terms could significantly disrupt its business.
Insperity, Inc earningsThis company
Insperity’s report will show whether paid worksite-employee growth and revenue per employee are keeping pace with the benefit costs that have squeezed gross profit.
Read average paid worksite employees, gross profit per employee per month and benefit costs together. Growing headcount with steady gross profit per employee would show that client payroll and Insperity’s fees are absorbing cost pressure; weaker headcount and falling gross profit per employee alongside rising benefit costs would show that growth and fees are not keeping up.
TRINET GROUP, INC. earningsTNET
TriNet’s report will show whether small and midsize employers are adding workers and buying full-service HR, the same market where Insperity sells its PEO offering.
Read TriNet’s core PEO worksite-employee count alongside PEO revenue. Growth in both would suggest clients are adding workers while continuing to buy outsourced HR services, supporting demand in Insperity’s market; weakness in both would point to softer demand from small and midsize employers.
JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)
Job openings track how many positions employers are looking to fill; for Insperity, a tight hiring market can make it harder for clients to add worksite employees whose payrolls generate its fees.
Expected7.0MLast release7.079M
If it comes in above expectations
More openings than expected would point to tighter hiring and more wage pressure, potentially making it harder for Insperity’s small and midsize-business clients to hire and limiting growth in fee-generating worksite employees.
If it comes in below expectations
If the reading is below the 7.0M estimate, it is below the previous 7.079M. Fewer openings than expected would point to an easier hiring market, potentially helping Insperity’s clients fill positions and expand the worksite-employee base that generates fees.
Barrett Business Services earningsBBSI
Barrett Business Services’ report will show how employment at its PEO clients is changing, offering a comparison for the client headcount that drives Insperity’s revenue.
Watch whether employment at Barrett Business Services’ PEO clients rises or falls. Growth would show that the small and midsize businesses it serves are expanding their workforces, a supportive backdrop for Insperity’s client headcount; contraction would suggest these employers are cutting staff and could weigh on Insperity’s paid worksite-employee growth.
Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)
The monthly jobs report tracks changes in US payroll employment; for Insperity, the number of employees its small and midsize-business clients employ and pay helps determine the worksite-employee base that generates service-fee revenue.
If payroll employment grows, read that as stronger hiring that may expand clients’ fee-generating worksite employees; if it weakens or declines, clients may employ and pay fewer people, reducing that base.