Stock daily read

What happened with NEPH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

NEPH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Nephros Inc. supplies filters that hospitals and other healthcare facilities use to control waterborne contaminants at water outlets and equipment, and to purify water and bicarbonate concentrate for dialysis. Its medical filters physically trap microorganisms; its ultrafilters also retain viruses and endotoxins. It also sells commercial filters that improve water taste and odor and reduce contaminants and buildup in beverage dispensers, coffee machines and ice makers.

Healthcare distributors buy and resell its medical filters, while Nephros also sells directly to hospitals and dialysis customers. Commercial sales likewise use direct sales and distribution partners. Customers reorder filters as scheduled replacements become due. The company also supplies filters for urgent water-quality problems, including outbreaks, but these orders are generally non-recurring and depend on when such events occur. Product sales provide nearly all revenue, and a few customers account for a substantial share.

Nephros does not manufacture its medical filtration products, though it makes some commercial products. It depends on Medica S.p.A. as the sole supplier of proprietary filter material for several products. Its agreement with Medica ties exclusive sales rights in the defined territory to minimum purchase commitments; failure to meet them can give Medica a termination right. Its U.S.-marketed medical filters are FDA-cleared for their intended uses, and new products may need regulatory clearance before they can be sold.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in NEPH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

NEPH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Nephros depends on repeat medical-filter orders and emergency water-quality deployments, with Cytiva a competitor to watch and Medica S.p.A. its exclusive manufacturing partner.

  • Pentair competes with Nephros to sell commercial customers filters that improve water quality, but its broader pump and pool businesses make its overall results a poor guide to Nephros’s medical-filter demand. Watch Pentair’s commercial filtration business rather than its pump or pool sales.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Pentair plc earningsPNR

    Pentair’s report will show how demand for water-quality filters is changing among commercial customers, a market where it competes with Nephros.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Nephros Inc. earningsThis company

    Nephros’s report will show whether hospitals, dialysis settings and other customers keep reordering its filters, and whether cost pressure is eating into the sales gains.