Stock daily read

What happened with MSM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MSM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. supplies the tools and consumables customers need to make products and keep facilities running, such as cutting tools, abrasives, fasteners and safety supplies. It buys from suppliers, holds inventory and fills customer orders, billing for merchandise and shipping after shipment. Most revenue comes from manufacturing customers, especially heavy manufacturing, and nearly all comes from the United States.

MSC also helps customers choose tools and manage supplies at their sites. Its inventory programs monitor stock, replenish supplies and dispense items through vending machines, connecting day-to-day usage with new orders. Most sales pass through electronic ordering channels, including these inventory programs, rather than just its website.

Demand depends heavily on how much customers produce. Keeping products available and delivering them quickly are central to the business, while earnings also depend on purchasing and freight costs relative to selling prices. MSC also serves government and public-sector customers, where it must comply with procurement rules, including restrictions on product sourcing.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MSM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MSM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Fastenal competes with MSC for businesses’ industrial-supply spending, both by selling products and by managing stock at customer sites through inventory programs and vending machines. Fastenal’s customer-site programs are worth watching alongside MSC’s vending and in-plant expansion.

  • Grainger competes with MSC for business customers’ maintenance, repair and operating-supply purchases, using broad in-stock selections, distribution networks and purchasing services. Its product availability and supply-chain service show how it competes with MSC’s same-day shipping offer.

  • Kennametal supplies cutting tools that MSC resells to manufacturers, so both depend on factories consuming tools as they machine metal. Kennametal’s metal-cutting business is the part to watch for demand that also matters to MSC’s tooling sales.

  • Applied Industrial Technologies competes with MSC for industrial customers’ maintenance spending by selling overlapping maintenance and power-transmission products, backed by technical support and inventory management. Its local stock and repair services show how it seeks to win purchases tied to customers’ production equipment.

  • Global Industrial Company competes with MSC to sell North American businesses maintenance supplies, industrial equipment and material-handling products. Its push to expand higher-margin private-brand products offers a concrete comparison with MSC’s own-brand and national-brand assortment.

  • DXP Enterprises competes with MSC both to sell industrial customers maintenance, repair and operating supplies and to manage purchasing and stock at their facilities. Its Supply Chain Services sales are the line to watch for this customer-site business, where DXP can take over procurement and own the inventory.

Agenda

tomorrowThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. earningsThis company

    MSC Industrial sells metalworking and maintenance supplies to manufacturers, and this report will show whether factory demand is lifting sales while inventory-cost pressure eases.

in 13 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Global Industrial Company earningsGIC

    Global Industrial Company’s report will show whether its private brands are gaining ground in industrial supplies, where they compete for the same purchasing budgets as MSC Industrial’s own and national brands.

in 14 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    W.W. Grainger, Inc. earningsGWW

    Grainger’s report will show how business customers are responding to maintenance supplies and dependable fulfillment, the same needs MSC Industrial serves with stocked products and fast shipping.

  2. Time to be announced

    Kennametal Inc. earningsKMT

    Kennametal’s report will show demand for metal-cutting tools from manufacturers, the same kind of tools MSC Industrial resells to factories.

in 21 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    DXP Enterprises Inc earningsDXPE

    DXP Enterprises’ report will show demand for its procurement and on-site inventory services, which compete for the same customer relationships as MSC Industrial’s inventory-management offerings.

in 27 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production tracks output from factories, mines and utilities; stronger customer operations can lift manufacturers’ purchases of MSC’s metalworking and MRO supplies, while weaker operations can reduce them.